Auxerre - Nice prediction 12 September 2026
Auxerre
NiceAuxerre
Le MansLe HavreAuxerreRennesAuxerreAuxerreClermontAuxerreBrestAuxerreNiceLyonAuxerreAuxerreAngersLensAuxerreWerder BremenAuxerreAuxerreTroyesAuxerreUS OrleansAuxerreSt Maur LusitanosLOSC LilleAuxerreAuxerreNiceBrestNiceLyonNiceNiceStrasbourgNiceLOSC LilleAuxerreNiceNiceLe MansParis FCNiceNiceLorientHull CityNiceCagliariNiceJuventusNiceMarseilleNiceNiceNimesNiceSaint EtienneSaint EtienneNice- 23M. DiopG
- 9C. ArcherF
- 92C. AkpaD
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 27L. SyM
- 10D. NamasoF
- 22F. OppegรฅrdM
- 5K. DanoisM
- 3R. Labeau LascaryF
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 15C. MakossoD
- 8N. Ahamada
- 20S. Diomandรฉ
- 17P. Ekwah
- 32R. Mandengue
- 77Aristide Zossou
- 35E. Legros
- 34L. Dioubate
- 21R. Faivre
- 1P. Nardi
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 11E. WahiM
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 28A. WitselM
- 9M. AmouraF
- 7G. HeinM
- 23Y. DioufG
- 92J. ClaussM
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
- 21I. Jansson
- 10S. Diop
- 77T. Boulhendi
- 29N. Ngoumou
- 6H. Boudaoui
- 87E. Pereira
- 2A. Abdi
- 38A. Camara
- 41D. Morana
AuxerreNiceAuxerreNiceNiceAuxerreNiceAuxerreNiceAuxerreNiceAuxerreAuxerreNiceAuxerreNice| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 |  LOSC Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 |
Auxerre vs Nice Prediction (Sep 12, 2026)
Our Auxerre vs Nice prediction for the Ligue 1 match on Sep 12, 2026, at 18:45 at Stade Abbรฉ-Deschamps sees the draw as the most probable outcome, with a 38% chance. Auxerreโs win probability stands at 33%, while Nice has a 29% chance of taking all three points.
Team Form
Auxerre have struggled recently, recording three straight league defeats before a friendly win and draw. Their last five results: L, L, L, W, D. In Ligue 1, they lost 3-1 at Lyon, 3-1 at home to Angers, and 5-2 at Lens. The only positive came in a 1-0 friendly win at Werder Bremen, followed by a 1-1 home friendly draw with Troyes.
Niceโs form is also poor, with one defeat and four draws in their last five: D, L, D, D, D. In the league, they drew 1-1 at home with Le Mans, lost 3-0 at Paris FC, and played a goalless draw at home to Lorient. Friendlies brought 0-0 draws at Hull City and Cagliari. Neither side enters this match with momentum.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head between Auxerre and Nice is remarkably balanced. In the last seven meetings, Auxerre have won once, Nice once, and five matches ended in draws. The most recent clash saw Auxerre win 2-1 at home on May 10, 2026. Before that, Nice won 3-1 at home in August 2025, and the previous three meetings all finished level: 1-1 (Mar 2025, Ligue 1), 0-0 (Jan 2024, Cup), and 1-1 (Mar 2023, Ligue 1). The draw is a recurring theme in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Exact overall league positions for Auxerre and Nice are not available in the provided standings data. The overall table shows only the top 12, with neither team listed. In the home table, Nice sit 8th with 2 points from 2 home matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Auxerre do not appear in the home or away standings. Without full table context, it is impossible to quote a points gap between the sides.
Win Probability: Auxerre or Nice?
Based on the average odds from multiple bookmakers, adjusted for form and head-to-head, the win probabilities are:
- Auxerre win: 33%
- Draw: 38%
- Nice win: 29%
The draw is the most likely outcome. This reflects the odds (average draw odds around 2.35), the high number of draws in past meetings, and the poor recent form of both teams. Auxerreโs home advantage is offset by their three straight league defeats, while Niceโs lack of wins on the road keeps their probability below 30%.
Odds & Match Prediction
One bookmaker quotes Auxerre at 2.74, a draw at 3.45, and Nice at 2.82. These odds imply a tight contest with no clear favourite. Our prediction: based on the stats, this match is likely to end in a draw. Auxerre could edge a narrow win if they rediscover the home form that gave them a 2-1 victory in the last meeting, but the data strongly points to a stalemate.
Auxerre vs Nice โ FAQ
- Who will win Auxerre vs Nice?
- According to the probability analysis, Auxerre have a 33% chance of winning, the draw is the most likely result at 38%, and Nice have a 29% chance. The draw is the favoured outcome based on odds, head-to-head history, and the current form of both teams.
- What is the win probability for Auxerre?
- Auxerreโs win probability is calculated at 33%. This is derived from the average bookmaker odds (around 2.73 for a home win), adjusted for their poor recent league form (three consecutive losses) and the historical tendency of this fixture to end in draws.
- When is the Auxerre vs Nice match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, at 18:45 local time. It will be played at Stade Abbรฉ-Deschamps in Auxerre, as part of the Ligue 1 competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- One bookmaker lists the odds as Auxerre 2.74, Draw 3.45, and Nice 2.82. These odds show a very even contest with no clear favourite, though the draw is priced slightly higher than the other outcomes.