Police XI - Nico United prediction 26 October 2026
Police XI
Nico UnitedPolice XINico United
Tonota FCPolice XIGaborone UnitedPolice XIPolice XIExtension GunnersPolice XIOrapa UnitedMatebelePolice XIPolice XIMorupule WanderersOrapa UnitedPolice XIPolice XIBlack Lions FCTownship RollersPolice XIPolice XIJwaneng GalaxySua FlamingoesPolice XIBotswana Defence Force XIPolice XIPolice XISanta Green FCNico UnitedPolice XIPolice XINico UnitedGaborone UnitedNico UnitedMochudi Centre ChiefsNico UnitedBotswana Defence Force XINico UnitedExtension GunnersNico UnitedMorupule WanderersNico UnitedTownship RollersNico UnitedNico UnitedJwaneng GalaxyNico UnitedPolice XISanta Green FCNico UnitedMochudi Centre ChiefsNico UnitedTafic FCNico UnitedMatebeleNico UnitedGaborone UnitedNico UnitedNico UnitedTafic FCPolice XINico UnitedNico UnitedPolice XI| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gaborone United | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Tonota FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Sua Flamingoes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 |  Mochudi Centre Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 10 |
| 5 | Nico United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Extension Gunners | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Tafic FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 | Police XI | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Jwaneng Galaxy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Nico United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Township Rollers | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  Enesia FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 |  Matebele | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Botswana Defence Force XI | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Prisons XI | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Morupule Wanderers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Police XI vs Nico United Prediction (Oct 26)
The Police XI vs Nico United prediction for October 26, 2026, points towards a closely contested Botswana Premier League match. Based on the available data, Police XI enters as the slight favorite with a 44% win probability, while Nico United has a 28% chance of victory and the draw is at 28%. The match kicks off at 17:00.
Team Form
Police XI's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches (W,D,D,L,L). They have struggled to find the net, scoring only one goal in that span while conceding three. Notably, they are coming off back-to-back 1-0 and 2-0 away defeats to Gaborone United and Tonota FC.
Nico United's form is similarly patchy, also recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L,L,W,L,D). They have scored three goals and conceded seven. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 away loss to Gaborone United in a Cup match, extending a difficult run of results on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is limited to a single recent meeting, which favors the home side. In their last clash on March 5, 2026, Police XI secured a 2-1 away victory against Nico United. This gives Police XI a perfect record of one win from one match in this fixture.
League Table Positions
In the Botswana Premier League standings, Police XI sits in 8th place with 8 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 3 goals and conceded 3. Nico United is positioned 5th with 9 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), having scored 8 and conceded 7. At home, Police XI is undefeated in 6th place with 5 points from 3 games, while Nico United's away form places them 1st in the away table with 5 points from 4 matches.
Win Probability: Police XI or Nico United?
Police XI has a 44% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Nico United has a 28% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the available odds (3.25, 1.95, 3.50), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and adjusted for Police XI's home advantage and their head-to-head win. While Nico United ranks higher in the overall table, Police XI's undefeated home record and previous victory in this fixture tip the probability in their favor.
Odds & Match Prediction
The bookmakers' odds for the match are 3.25 for a Police XI win, 1.95 for a draw, and 3.50 for a Nico United victory. The low odds on the draw suggest bookmakers see a stalemate as a very likely outcome. Based on the stats, the most probable result is a narrow win for Police XI, but a draw is a strong possibility given both teams' recent form and the odds.
Police XI vs Nico United โ FAQ
- Who will win Police XI vs Nico United?
- Based on our analysis, Police XI has a 44% chance of winning, while Nico United has a 28% chance. The draw is also at 28%. Police XI is the most likely winner, but the match is expected to be very close.
- What is the win probability for Police XI?
- Police XI has a 44% probability of winning. This is based on bookmaker odds, their undefeated home record this season, and their 2-1 victory in the only previous head-to-head meeting against Nico United.
- When is the Police XI vs Nico United match?
- The match is scheduled for October 26, 2026, with a kick-off time of 17:00. It is a Botswana Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current pre-match odds are 3.25 for a Police XI home win, 1.95 for a draw, and 3.50 for an away win for Nico United. The draw is the most favored outcome by the bookmakers.