NIK - Larsmo Bollklubb prediction 17 September 2026

The NIK vs Larsmo Bollklubb prediction for September 17, 2026, in Finland's Kolmonen league points to a tight contest. Larsmo Bollklubb holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while NIK has 33% and the draw is at 32%.

Team Form

NIK have struggled lately, with two wins followed by three defeats in their last five matches. On Sep 9 they won 2-1 at KPV Akatemia, then beat VPV 2-0 at home. The slide started with a 4-3 home loss to SIF on Aug 18, followed by away defeats at FC Ylivieska (1-2) and Lapuan Virkia (1-2).

Larsmo Bollklubb's form is stronger. They won four consecutive games before a heavy 8-0 away loss at VIFK on Sep 3. That run included home wins over Lapuan Virkia (2-1) and KPV Akatemia (3-1), an away victory at VPV (3-2), and a 4-2 home success against SJK Akatemia 2.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting took place on Jun 25, 2026, with Larsmo Bollklubb winning 5-0 at home. This heavy defeat will be fresh in NIK's mind.

Win Probability: NIK or Larsmo Bollklubb?

NIK has a 33% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Larsmo Bollklubb has a 35% chance. These probabilities are based on bookmaker odds (2.40, 2.88, 2.88) adjusted for recent form and the head-to-head result. While the odds implied NIK as a marginal favourite (37.5% after removing the margin), their poor run of three straight losses and the 5-0 H2H defeat reduce their chances. Larsmo Bollklubb's four wins in five games, despite the 8-0 away loss, justify their slightly higher probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers set the 1X2 odds at home 2.40, draw 2.88, away 2.88. These numbers reflect a marginal home advantage for NIK. However, based on the stats, the encounter looks more balanced, with Larsmo Bollklubb holding a small edge. A draw is a very realistic outcome, but the visitors have the form to edge it.