Ningbo Professional FC Huilong - Nanjing Fengfan prediction 11 October 2026

The Ningbo Professional FC Huilong vs Nanjing Fengfan prediction for October 11, 2026, kicks off at 12:00 local time in China's League One. Based on our analysis, Ningbo Professional FC Huilong emerge as the favorite with a 47% implied win probability, buoyed by their superior head-to-head record when hosting and a desperately poor run of form for the visitors.

Team Form

Ningbo Professional FC Huilong enter this match with a mixed recent record of four defeats in their last five outings (L, L, L, W, L). Their sole victory in that stretch came at home against Shaanxi Union on September 12, 2026, a 1-0 result. However, they have struggled to find the net on the road, suffering 1-0 defeats at Nantong Zhiyun, Wuxi Wugou, and Dalian K'un City, alongside a 2-0 loss to Changchun Yatai. Despite the poor run, their home form has been a relative silver lining.

Nanjing Fengfan arrive in dire shape, having lost all five of their most recent matches (L, L, L, L, L). Defensive frailties have been glaring, conceding 13 goals across these five games, including a 4-1 home hammering by Shaanxi Union and a 3-0 home loss to Wuxi Wugou. They have also fallen on the road to Meizhou Hakka (2-1) and Suzhou Jinfu Dongwu (2-0).

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced, with 2 wins for Ningbo Professional FC Huilong, 2 wins for Nanjing Fengfan, and 4 draws in their 8 meetings. The most recent encounter on June 13, 2026, saw Ningbo claim a 2-1 away victory. When playing at home, Ningbo Professional FC Huilong have a favorable H2H record: across four home matches, they registered one win (1-0 in 2024) and two goalless or 1-1 draws, suffering just one defeat.

League Table Positions

In the China League One standings, Ningbo Professional FC Huilong currently sit 10th with 32 points from 25 matches (9 wins, 5 draws, 11 defeats). Their home form is their bedrock, with a 7th-place ranking in the away standings based on their road trips, but more importantly, they have proven harder to beat on familiar turf. Nanjing Fengfan do not feature in the provided top-eight home or away standings, indicating they are in the lower reaches of the table, a factor that intensifies the pressure on them heading into this fixture.

Win Probability: Ningbo Professional FC Huilong or Nanjing Fengfan?

Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: Ningbo Professional FC Huilong 47%, Draw 31%, Nanjing Fengfan 22%. This assessment uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.08, draw 2.00, away 3.90) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, weighted further by current form and home advantage. Nanjing's five-match losing streak drastically reduces their chances, while the draw rate in this H2H (50% of all meetings) justifies the high draw probability. The math indicates Ningbo are the clear most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market highlight the tight nature of this contest. The best available odds see a home win priced at 2.08, a draw as short as 2.00, and an away win at 3.90. The market's unusually low draw price reflects the history of stalemates between these teams. Based on the stats, Ningbo Professional FC Huilong hold the advantage. A home win is the most probable single outcome, but the value may lie in the draw given the H2H record. Our final Ningbo Professional FC Huilong vs Nanjing Fengfan prediction is a home victory.