Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women - Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women prediction 18 October 2026

The Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women prediction for October 11, 2026, points towards a tightly contested WE League Women match at 04:00. Based on the latest data, Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women have a 41% chance of winning, making them slight favorites on home soil, while the draw is at 27% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women have a 32% win probability.

Team Form

Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women's recent form has been inconsistent with a record of three wins and two losses in their last five matches (W, W, L, W, L). They have shown goalscoring threat, netting 11 times in those games, but conceded 10. Most recently, they suffered a 4-2 away defeat to Urawa Red Diamonds Women on October 3. Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women also show a mixed record with three wins and two losses in their last five (W, L, L, W, W). They bounced back with a dominant 3-0 home win against Parceiro Nagano Women on October 3, having scored 9 goals and conceded 5 in this period.

Head-to-Head Record

Over their last eight encounters, Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women have a clear edge in this fixture with 4 wins to Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women's 2, along with 2 draws. The most recent meeting saw Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women win 2-0 at home on May 3, 2026, but before that, Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women enjoyed a 3-1 home victory on April 18, 2026. High-scoring games are not guaranteed, but the last two league clashes produced three or more goals.

League Table Positions

Both teams are level on points near the top of the WE League Women table after three games. Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women sit 2nd with 6 points (2 wins, 1 loss) and a goal difference of +2. Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women are right behind in 3rd, also on 6 points with an identical 2-0-1 record but a stronger goal difference of +2. The home side are 2nd in the overall standings, just ahead of the visitors on goal difference.

Win Probability: Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women or Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women?

Based on our analysis, Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women have a 41% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women have a 32% chance. We calculated this by taking the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.25, draw 3.60, away 2.55) and normalizing them to remove the bookmaker margin. We then adjusted slightly for the home team's superior head-to-head record (4 wins in 8) and their historical dominance in this fixture at home, while tempering the favorite status due to their recent defensive vulnerabilities conceding 10 in 5 matches. The visitors' solid defensive record (2 conceded in 3 league games) boosts their chances, but their inferior H2H record away from home keeps them as underdogs.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering odds of 2.25 for a Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women win, 3.60 for the draw, and 2.55 for an away win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women. An alternative bookmaker lists the draw slightly lower at 3.35 and the away win at 2.62. These odds confirm that the bookmakers see Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women as the favorite. Our Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women prediction sides with the home team's historical edge, but the visitors' solid form means a tight contest is likely.