Niroye Zamini - Shenavar Sazi Qeshm prediction 26 October 2026

The Niroye Zamini vs Shenavar Sazi Qeshm prediction for this Azadegan League match on October 26, 2026, at 12:00 UTC points towards a tight contest. According to our data analysis, Shenavar Sazi Qeshm has a 33% chance of winning, the draw stands at 45%, and Niroye Zamini holds a 22% chance of victory.

Team Form

Niroye Zamini are struggling, with just two draws and three losses in their last five matches (L,D,L,L,D). They were beaten 4-1 by Mes Rafsanjan on October 20, drew 0-0 at home to Mes Kerman on October 5, lost 2-1 to Saipa on September 28, suffered a 0-1 home defeat against Fard Alborz FC on September 21, and drew 1-1 away to Shahrdari Noshahr on July 11. Only one point from the last three outings highlights a lack of confidence.

Shenavar Sazi Qeshm, on the other hand, are undefeated in the league and arrive in much better shape. Their recent run reads W,W,D,L,D: a 1-0 home win over Mes Kerman on October 20, a 1-0 away victory at Saipa on October 12, a 0-0 draw at FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr on September 15, a 1-3 home loss to Mes Shahre Babak on July 3, and a 1-1 away draw with Mes Soongoun Varzaghan on June 27. The away form is particularly impressive with one win and two draws from three road games, conceding zero goals on their travels in the league.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in the Azadegan League. Niroye Zamini remain unbeaten with one win and one draw. On October 12, 2025, Niroye Zamini won 1-0 at home. The most recent meeting on May 21, 2026, ended 0-0 at Shenavar Sazi Qeshm. That home victory gives Niroye a psychological edge, but the current form gap is significant.

League Table Positions

Shenavar Sazi Qeshm sit 4th in the standings with 12 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 5 goals and conceded only 2, showing solid defensive organisation. Niroye Zamini are outside the top 12 in the league table, indicating a difficult campaign so far. The gap in points and positions gives Shenavar a clear advantage on paper.

Win Probability: Niroye Zamini or Shenavar Sazi Qeshm?

We have calculated the outcome probabilities using the match odds as a base and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head record, league standings, and home/away factor. Shenavar Sazi Qeshm have a 33% chance of winning, the draw is the most likely result at 45%, and Niroye Zamini’s win probability is 22%. The high draw percentage stems from bookmakers’ odds (draw as short as 1.85) and Shenavar’s cautious yet solid away setup. Niroye’s home H2H win keeps them in the mix, but their poor run makes a victory unlikely. Overall, Shenavar Sazi Qeshm emerge as the slight favorite to take all three points if the match produces a winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Available pre-match odds show a Niroye Zamini win priced at 4.20–4.50, the draw at 1.85–1.88, and a Shenavar Sazi Qeshm victory at 2.80–2.90. Bookmakers clearly see the draw as the most probable result. Our prediction aligns with the data: based on the stats, a draw appears the most expected outcome, but Shenavar Sazi Qeshm are the team more likely to secure a win if one side prevails. Betting tips therefore point toward the draw as the safest option, with a lean toward the away side for those looking for a marginal play.