NK Celje U19 - NS Mura U19 prediction 18 September 2026

The NK Celje U19 vs NS Mura U19 prediction for this League U19 match on Sep 18, 2026, at 14:30, points to the home side as the favorite with a 40% win probability. NK Celje U19 enters the game with the backing of bookmakers and a slight edge in head-to-head history, though both teams have shown inconsistent form.

Team Form

NK Celje U19’s last five matches have been a rollercoaster: L, W, L, W, L. They lost 0-1 at home to Radomlje U19 on Sep 15, beat Nd Beltinci U19 2-1 at home on Sep 07, fell 0-2 away to NK Olimpija Ljubljana U19 on Aug 31, defeated Koper U19 3-1 at home on Aug 24, and lost 0-3 away to NK Triglav U19 on Aug 16. At home, they have managed two wins in their last three, but the recent loss to Radomlje raises questions.

NS Mura U19’s recent form reads W, L, W, L, D. They edged NK Triglav U19 3-2 at home on Sep 14, were thrashed 0-4 away by NK Jadran Dekani U19 on Sep 07, demolished Nk Fuzinar U19 8-1 at home on Aug 30, lost 0-1 away to Nk Rudar Velenje U19 on Aug 23, and drew 2-2 at home with Bravo Publikum U19 on Aug 19. The away defeats are a concern, but the high-scoring home wins show potential.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last nine meetings across all venues, NK Celje U19 has won 3, NS Mura U19 has won 2, and 4 ended in draws. The most recent clash on Mar 02, 2026, saw NK Celje U19 win 2-1 away. The last encounter at this ground was on Aug 25, 2025, a convincing 4-1 victory for NK Celje U19. The H2H record clearly tilts in favor of the home side.

Win Probability: NK Celje U19 or NS Mura U19?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• NK Celje U19 win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• NS Mura U19 win: 25%

The bookmakers’ odds (2.30 home, 2.50 draw, 3.50 away) imply a home win probability of about 39% after removing the margin. We have adjusted this slightly upward to 40% because NK Celje U19 has a superior H2H record and home advantage, while NS Mura U19’s away form is shaky. The draw remains a very realistic outcome given both teams’ inconsistency and the high number of stalemates in past meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: NK Celje U19 – 2.30, Draw – 2.50, NS Mura U19 – 3.50. Bookmakers see NK Celje U19 as the favorite, but the odds on a draw are quite low, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture. Based on the stats, NK Celje U19 is more likely to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: NK Celje U19 to win, with a draw as a strong secondary possibility.