NK Rudar Velenje - Dravinja prediction 28 September 2026
NK Rudar Velenje
DravinjaNK Rudar Velenje
Slovan LjubljanaTabor SezanaNK Rudar VelenjeNK BistricaNK Rudar VelenjeNK Rudar VelenjeDravinjaNK Brezice 1919NK Rudar VelenjeNK Rudar VelenjeTriglav KranjDren VrhnikaNK Rudar VelenjeNK Rudar VelenjeBiljeIlirijaNK Rudar VelenjeNK Rudar VelenjeKrkaBeltinciNK Rudar VelenjeTabor SezanaNK Rudar VelenjeNK Rudar VelenjeJadran DekaniJeseniceNK Rudar VelenjeNK Rudar VelenjeKrskoDravinjaJeseniceNK Primorje AjdovscinaDravinjaDravinjaSlovan LjubljanaNK Rudar VelenjeDravinjaDravinjaNK BistricaTabor SezanaDravinjaNK Brezice 1919DravinjaDravinjaTriglav KranjDren VrhnikaDravinjaDravinjaBiljeIlirijaDravinjaJeseniceDravinjaDravinjaKrskoND GoricaDravinjaDravinjaIlirijaNK Rudar VelenjeDravinjaNK Rudar VelenjeDravinjaDravinjaNK Rudar VelenjeDravinjaNK Rudar VelenjeNK Rudar VelenjeDravinjaNK Rudar VelenjeDravinja| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tabor Sezana | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | +15 | 28 |
| 2 |  Beltinci | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 30:13 | +17 | 25 |
| 3 |  Triglav Kranj | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21:5 | +16 | 25 |
| 4 |  Rudar | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21:17 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bilje | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 6 |  Jesenice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Bistrica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Slovan Ljubljana | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Ilirija | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17:12 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Jadran Dekani | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dren Vrhnika | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Krsko | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Dravinja | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:26 | -14 | 8 |
| 15 |  Krka | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 |  NK Brezice 1919 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 |
NK Rudar Velenje vs Dravinja Prediction (Sep 28, 2026)
Team Form
NK Rudar Velenje come into this match with three wins and two losses from their last five outings. Their recent 4-3 away victory at NK Brezice 1919 and a solid 2-0 home win over Triglav Kranj highlight their attacking threat. At home, they have won all three league matches this season, scoring nine and conceding only once. Dravinja, on the other hand, have managed just one win in their last five (W1 D1 L3). They were beaten 5-1 by Tabor Sezana and 4-1 at home by Triglav Kranj, although they did beat NK Bistrica 3-1 in their most recent fixture. The away side's defensive record remains a concern.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met five times in recent 2 SNL history, with two wins apiece and one draw. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in April 2026, while Rudar's last home win against Dravinja came in October 2023 (1-0). Notably, Dravinja won 2-1 at this ground in November 2024. The head-to-head record suggests neither team holds a psychological edge.
League Table Positions
NK Rudar Velenje (listed as Rudar in the standings) currently sit 8th with 12 points from seven matches, having won four and lost three. Dravinja are outside the top 12, indicating a struggling campaign. Rudar's perfect home record (3 wins, goals 9-1) contrasts sharply with Dravinja's poor away form that leaves them out of the top eight away rankings.
Win Probability: NK Rudar Velenje or Dravinja?
After analysing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the calculated win probabilities are: NK Rudar Velenje 55%, draw 25%, Dravinja 20%. The base implied probabilities from the average bookmaker odds gave Rudar a 47% chance, but their strong home record and Dravinja's weaker away performances increase that advantage. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the balanced H2H, but a comfortable home win is the most likely scenario.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see NK Rudar Velenje as clear favourites, with home win odds ranging from 1.50 to 2.02. The draw is priced between 2.30 and 4.00, while an away win for Dravinja sits at 4.50 to 5.00. Based on the stats, Rudar Velenje are expected to control the game and convert their home dominance into three points. A 2-0 or 2-1 victory for the hosts looks a strong possibility.
NK Rudar Velenje vs Dravinja โ FAQ
- Who will win NK Rudar Velenje vs Dravinja?
- According to our probability model, NK Rudar Velenje have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Dravinja have a 20% chance. Rudar's perfect home record and Dravinja's poor away form make the hosts strong favourites.
- What is the win probability for NK Rudar Velenje?
- NK Rudar Velenje have a 55% win probability. This is based on bookmaker odds, their 100% home record this season (3 wins, 9 goals scored, 1 conceded), and Dravinja's lower league position.
- When is the NK Rudar Velenje vs Dravinja match?
- The match kicks off on September 28, 2026, at 18:00 local time. It is a 2 SNL (Slovenia) fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for a NK Rudar Velenje win range from 1.50 to 2.02, the draw is between 2.30 and 4.00, and a Dravinja victory pays from 4.50 to 5.00, depending on the bookmaker.