Olimpija Ljubljana - NK Slaven Belupo prediction 1 October 2026

Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on October 1, 2026, at 11:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 39% probability, while Olimpija Ljubljana has a 33% chance and NK Slaven Belupo a 28% chance. This betting tip examines the head-to-head record, recent form, and odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Olimpija Ljubljana come into this match with a recent record of L, W, W, D, W in their last five outings. They lost away to NK Bravo (2-1), won away against Koper (3-1), won at home versus Brinje-Grosuplje (3-0), drew away at NK Radomlje (0-0), and won at home against Nafta Lendava (1-0). That's three wins, one draw, and one loss, with both home games ending in clean-sheet victories. Their attack has been efficient, scoring 8 goals in these five matches.

NK Slaven Belupo's last five results are D, L, W, W, L. They drew 2-2 away at Rudes, lost 1-0 away to Hajduk Split, thrashed Hrvatski Dragovoljac 5-0 away in the Cup, beat Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 at home, and suffered a 3-0 defeat away to Osijek. That's two wins, one draw, and two losses. Notably, their away form has been shaky, with only one win in four road trips (the cup win against lower-league opposition) and two heavy defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, in a Friendly Clubs match on January 21, 2020. NK Slaven Belupo won 2-0 away at Olimpija Ljubljana. The head-to-head record therefore stands at 0 wins for Olimpija, 0 draws, and 1 win for Slaven Belupo. However, that single match was over six years ago, so its relevance is limited.

Win Probability: Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction

We calculated the win probabilities using the latest odds (home 2.75, draw 2.30, away 3.20) and adjusted for recent form and head-to-head. The implied probabilities from the odds, after removing the bookmaker margin, are: Olimpija Ljubljana win 33%, draw 39%, NK Slaven Belupo win 28%. Olimpija's solid home form and Slaven's away struggles support the draw as the most likely outcome. Therefore, the draw has the highest chance at 39%, making it the safest prediction for this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.75 for an Olimpija Ljubljana victory, 2.30 for a draw, and 3.20 for an NK Slaven Belupo win. The draw is the favorite in the 1X2 market. Based on the stats, including Olimpija's strong home performances and Slaven's inconsistent away results, a draw appears the most probable result. A betting tip would be to back the draw, or for a more conservative approach, consider a double chance on Olimpija Ljubljana or draw. The match is likely to be tight, with limited goals.