Our NK Triglav U19 vs Brezice 1919 U19 prediction for the League U19 match on September 18, 2026, gives the home side a 44% chance of winning. The match kicks off at 16:00 in Slovenia, with NK Triglav U19 entering as the favorite according to bookmakers and our probability model.
Last five matches:
NK Triglav U19 have managed just one win in their last five outings, a 1-0 away victory at Nd Beltinci U19. Heavy defeats to Olimpija Ljubljana (2-5) and Ilirija U19 (0-3) highlight defensive vulnerabilities. At home, NK Triglav U19 have struggled, failing to win any of their last three home matches (D1 L2) and conceding nine goals in those games.
Last five matches:
Brezice 1919 U19 are winless in five, with two draws and three losses. They have conceded 16 goals in that period, including a 6-1 thrashing by Bravo Publikum U19 and a 4-0 home loss to Aluminij U19. On the road, Brezice 1919 U19 have taken just one point from their last two away fixtures, a 0-0 draw at Nk Fuzinar, and were heavily beaten 6-1 at Bravo Publikum.
There is no head-to-head record between NK Triglav U19 and Brezice 1919 U19. This will be their first meeting, so no historical data can inform the prediction.
Based on the available odds and recent form, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: NK Triglav U19 win โ 44%, Draw โ 34%, Brezice 1919 U19 win โ 22%. The odds implied probabilities (after removing the bookmaker margin) were adjusted slightly to reflect NK Triglav U19's home advantage and the fact they have managed one win in their last five, while Brezice 1919 U19 are yet to win in that period. The draw probability remains high due to both teams' inconsistent performances.
Bookmakers have set the odds at 2.10 for a home win, 2.62 for the draw, and 3.75 for an away win. These odds indicate NK Triglav U19 as the clear favorite. Our NK Triglav U19 vs Brezice 1919 U19 prediction aligns with the market: a home win is the most likely outcome, but the draw is a strong second possibility. For betting tips, the home win offers value only if you believe the probability exceeds 47.6% (the implied odds probability). Our model gives it 44%, so the value is marginal.