Our NS Mura U19 vs NK Triglav U19 prediction for the League U19 match on Sep 14, 2026, gives the away side a 45% chance of victory. The match kicks off at 14:30, and based on head-to-head dominance, NK Triglav U19 is the favorite despite what the odds suggest.
NS Mura U19's last five matches: L, W, L, D, W. They started the season with a 1-0 away win at Aluminij U19, then drew 2-2 at home to Bravo Publikum U19, lost 1-0 at Nk Rudar Velenje U19, thrashed Nk Fuzinar U19 8-1 at home, and most recently lost 4-0 away to NK Jadran Dekani U19. The 8-1 victory shows their attacking potential, but defensive issues have led to two heavy defeats.
NK Triglav U19's recent form: L, D, W, L, D. They drew 1-1 at Koper U19, lost 5-2 at home to NK Olimpija Ljubljana U19, won 1-0 at Nd Beltinci U19, drew 1-1 at home to Radomlje U19, and lost 3-0 at home to Ilirija U19. Their away performances include a win and two draws, but they have conceded eight goals in the last five outings.
These teams have met three times, all in League U19. NK Triglav U19 has won every encounter without conceding a goal:
NS Mura U19 has never beaten NK Triglav U19, and the aggregate score is 9-0 in favor of the away side.
We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and head-to-head data. The bookmakers' average odds imply a 33.7% chance for a home win, 37.5% for a draw, and 28.9% for an away win. However, the head-to-head record strongly favors NK Triglav U19, who have won all three previous meetings. Taking this into account, we adjust the probabilities: NS Mura U19 has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and NK Triglav U19 has a 45% chance. The away team is the more likely winner.
The best available odds are: home win at 2.70, draw at 2.38, and away win at 3.00. Bookmakers see this as a tight contest, with the draw as the most probable outcome. However, our analysis points to an away victory for NK Triglav U19, given their perfect head-to-head record. Based on the stats, the prediction is an away win, but a draw cannot be ruled out.