Nocerina - Brindisi prediction 11 October 2026
Nocerina
BrindisiNocerina
GladiatorMartina FrancaNocerinaNocerinaBrindisiAS Melfi 1929NocerinaNocerinaUSD Palmese 1914BisceglieNocerinaNocerinaIschiaManfredoniaNocerinaNocerinaGelbisonNocerinaIschiaASD Monastir 1983 KosmotoNocerinaNocerinaFlaminia Civita CastellanaAtletico LodigianiNocerinaNocerinaLatte Dolce CalcioCOS Sarrabus OgliastraNocerinaBisceglieBrindisiBrindisiASD Nardo CalcioNocerinaBrindisiBrindisiASD Real Agro Aversa NormannaFrancavillaBrindisiBrindisiTurris CalcioVirtus FrancavillaBrindisiBrindisiFidelis AndriaBrindisiTarantoBrindisiGallipoliBrindisiBisceglieBrindisiAtletico AcquavivaBrindisiBrilla CampiBrindisiBitontoBrindisiFrancavillaNocerinaBrindisiNocerinaBrindisiBrindisiNocerinaBrindisiNocerinaNocerinaBrindisiBrindisiNocerinaBrindisiNocerinaNocerinaBrindisiNocerinaBrindisiNocerinaBrindisiBrindisiNocerina| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Biellese | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 |  ASD Millesimo Calcio | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:7 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  ASD Chisola Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Unione Sanremo (Sanremese) | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Derthona | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  GSD Lascaris | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Asti | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Asd Imperia 1923 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  AC Saluzzo | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 |  Gozzano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  AC Bra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Borgosesia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sestri Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fezzanese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Valenzana Mado | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:14 | -12 | 1 |
Nocerina vs Brindisi Prediction (Oct 11, 2026)
Nocerina will host Brindisi on October 11, 2026, in Italy's Serie D. This Nocerina vs Brindisi prediction points to a home-favored match, with Nocerina given a 45% chance to win, a draw at 35%, and Brindisi at 20%. Bookmakers also see the hosts as the favorite, but the odds suggest a competitive contest.
Team Form
Nocerina's recent form has been strong. In their last five matches they have recorded three wins (1-0 at AS Melfi on Oct 4, 3-0 at home vs USD Palmese on Sep 27, 3-2 at home vs Ischia on Sep 16), one draw (2-2 at Manfredonia on Sep 12) and one loss (1-3 at Bisceglie on Sep 20). At home they are perfect this season with two wins and seven goals scored.
Brindisi's away form has been inconsistent. Their last five outings include three wins (3-0 at home vs Aversa on Oct 4, 1-0 at Francavilla on Sep 27, 1-0 at home vs Fidelis Andria on Sep 12) and two losses (1-2 at home vs Turris on Sep 20, 1-2 at Virtus Francavilla on Sep 16). On the road this season, Brindisi have won one and lost one, conceding in both away matches.
Head-to-Head Record
Nocerina and Brindisi have met 10 times in Serie D, with Brindisi leading 5 wins to 3, and 2 draws. The last five meetings show Nocerina winning twice and Brindisi three times. The most recent encounter, on April 13, 2025, ended in a 2-0 home win for Nocerina. That result and the current home strength give Nocerina a psychological edge.
Win Probability: Nocerina or Brindisi?
We calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Nocerina win 45%, draw 35%, Brindisi win 20%. The base came from average bookmaker odds of 2.24 (home), 2.37 (draw), 4.19 (away). After removing the margin, the implied chances were 40.3%., 38.1%., 21.6%. We adjusted in favor of Nocerina due to their perfect home record and the most recent head-to-head win. The draw probability remains high because both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varied odds: home win between 1.72 and 2.40, draw between 2.15 and 3.20, away win between 3.80 and 4.33. These odds confirm Nocerina as the favorite, but the tight draw odds indicate a close game is expected. Based on all stats, our match prediction leans toward a Nocerina win, but the safety of a double chance (1X) is worth considering for betting tips.
Nocerina vs Brindisi โ FAQ
- Who will win Nocerina vs Brindisi?
- According to our win probability analysis, Nocerina has a 45% chance to win, a draw has a 35% probability, and Brindisi has a 20% chance. Nocerina is the more likely winner based on their strong home form and the most recent head-to-head result.
- What is the win probability for Nocerina?
- Nocerina has a 45% win probability in this match. This figure is derived from bookmaker odds and adjusted for their perfect home record (2 wins, 7 goals scored) and a 2-0 victory in the last meeting with Brindisi.
- When is the Nocerina vs Brindisi match?
- The match is scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 17:00 local time in Italy's Serie D.
- What are the odds for Nocerina vs Brindisi?
- The best available odds range from 1.72 to 2.40 for a Nocerina home win, 2.15 to 3.20 for the draw, and 3.80 to 4.33 for a Brindisi away win. Different bookmakers offer slightly different prices.
- What is the head-to-head record between Nocerina and Brindisi?
- In 10 Serie D meetings, Brindisi has won 5 times, Nocerina 3 times, and 2 matches have ended in a draw. Nocerina won the most recent clash 2-0 at home in April 2025.