Our North Macedonia U21 vs russia U21 prediction for the Friendly International match on September 28, 2026, at 15:00 is an away victory for russia U21. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, russia U21 has a 60% win probability, while North Macedonia U21 holds just a 15% chance, with a draw at 25%.
North Macedonia U21 come into this fixture in poor shape, with four losses in their last five outings (L, L, L, W, L). They suffered heavy defeats against Morocco U20 (1-5), Turkey U21 (0-3), Bulgaria U21 (0-1), and Italy U21 (0-4), managing only a 2-0 win over Armenia U21. The team has struggled both defensively and offensively, scoring just 3 goals while conceding 13 in that run.
russia U21, by contrast, are in excellent form with four wins from their last five matches (W, W, L, W, W). They recorded victories over Iraq U23 (1-0 and 5-1), Uzbekistan U21 (2-1), and a stunning 8-0 away win against Kyrgyzstan U23. Their only setback was a narrow 1-2 loss to Jordan U23. The visitors have scored 17 goals in these five games, showcasing a potent attack.
The head-to-head record heavily favors russia U21. In five previous meetings, North Macedonia U21 have never won, with russia U21 claiming three victories and two matches ending in draws. All three russia U21 wins came with a 5-1 scoreline, while the two draws were goalless. The most recent encounters were in the Euro Championship U21 Qualification, where russia U21 dominated.
As this is a Friendly International, there are no league table positions to compare. Both teams are using the match for preparation and experimentation, but the form and H2H data provide a clear picture of the current balance.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: North Macedonia U21 โ 15%, Draw โ 25%, russia U21 โ 60%. The reasoning combines the teams' recent form (russia U21 80% win rate vs. North Macedonia U21 20%), the head-to-head record (russia U21 undefeated with 3 wins in 5), and the home advantage for North Macedonia U21, which slightly reduces the visitors' edge. russia U21's superior attacking output and defensive stability make them the clear favorite to win this match.
Specific odds are not currently available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely install russia U21 as strong favorites. The final prediction is an away win for russia U21, with a high probability of over 2.5 total goals given the visitors' recent scoring form and the historical 5-1 results in this matchup.