Turkey - North Macedonia prediction 24 August 2026

The North Macedonia vs Turkey prediction for their Friendly International clash on June 1, 2026, at 17:30 UTC points towards an away victory. Based on the available form, head-to-head data, and competition level, Turkey enters this match as the favorite with an estimated 58% win probability, while North Macedonia holds a 22% chance and the draw sits at 20%.

Team Form

North Macedonia's recent form has been disappointing. The team has failed to win any of its last five matches, recording three draws and two losses (L, D, D, L, D). They were beaten heavily 4-0 by Denmark in a World Cup Qualification Play Off and also lost 4-0 to Turkey in their most recent encounter. Draws against Bosnia-Herzegovina, Ireland, and Latvia show some resilience, but a lack of cutting edge is evident.

Turkey's form is more mixed but shows a stronger pedigree. They have won three of their last five matches (W, L, L, W, W), including a dominant 4-0 victory over North Macedonia and a 2-1 win against Venezuela. However, they did suffer losses to Australia and Paraguay at the World Cup, indicating some vulnerability against organized sides. Their 3-2 victory over the USA in their most recent outing demonstrates their attacking capability.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two nations consists of two previous meetings. Turkey holds the advantage with one win, while the other match ended in a draw. North Macedonia has yet to record a victory. The most recent match on June 1, 2026, saw Turkey secure a comprehensive 4-0 home win. The previous encounter in 2017 ended 0-0 in a Friendly International.

League Table Positions

This match is a Friendly International, so there are no league table positions, points, or standings data to analyze. The fixture serves as a preparation game for both teams outside of a competitive league or qualification campaign.

Win Probability: North Macedonia or Turkey?

Turkey is the clear favorite to win this match. The calculated win probabilities are: Turkey win: 58%, North Macedonia win: 22%, Draw: 20%. This assessment is based on Turkey's superior recent form with three wins in five, their perfect head-to-head win in the last meeting, and the higher level of competition they regularly face. North Macedonia's winless run of five matches and zero wins in the H2H record significantly reduce their chances. The draw is a distinct possibility given two of North Macedonia's last five results ended level, but Turkey's firepower makes the away win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific 1X2 odds were not available in the provided data, but the statistical picture strongly favors Turkey. Bookmakers would likely see Turkey as the favorite based on the head-to-head 4-0 win and the gap in recent form. North Macedonia's best chance is to keep the game tight, as they did in draws against Ireland and Bosnia. However, our prediction is a win for Turkey. The match is likely to see goals based on Turkey's recent scoring record and North Macedonia's defensive struggles.