Saint Louis II - North Texas SC prediction 29 August 2026

Saint Louis II vs North Texas SC prediction for the MLS Next Pro match on Aug 29, 2026. Based on the latest stats and form, Saint Louis II has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and North Texas SC has a 17% chance.

Team Form

Saint Louis II come into this match unbeaten in their last five games (W2 D3). Their most recent results: a 2-2 home draw with Houston Dynamo II, a 2-0 away win at San Jose Earthquakes II, a 0-0 draw at Colorado Rapids 2, a 3-0 home win over Real Maryland Monarchs, and a 1-1 home draw with Vancouver Whitecaps II. The home side has been solid defensively, keeping two clean sheets in that run.

North Texas SC have struggled for consistency, with only one win in their last five outings (W1 D2 L2). They drew 1-1 at home to Minnesota United II, drew 0-0 at home to Austin II, lost 0-3 at home to Portland Timbers II, beat Tacoma Defiance 3-1 at home, and suffered a heavy 1-6 away defeat at Ventura County. The away form is a concern, with that 6-1 loss highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head between these two teams, the home side has won 4 of the 10 meetings, with 3 draws and 3 away wins. However, the recent record heavily favors Saint Louis II. In the last five matches, Saint Louis II have won four, including both home fixtures with 2-0 scorelines. The most recent encounter on Jul 05, 2026 saw North Texas SC win 3-0 at home, but Saint Louis II had won the previous four. This pattern suggests Saint Louis II have a strong edge when playing at home.

League Table Positions

Saint Louis II sit 10th in the MLS Next Pro overall standings with 13 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses from 24 games, earning 39 points. They have scored 38 goals and conceded 35. North Texas SC are not in the top 12 positions, indicating they are lower in the table. This gap in league standing further supports Saint Louis II as the favourite.

Win Probability: Saint Louis II or North Texas SC?

After evaluating the available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Saint Louis II win – 55%, draw – 28%, North Texas SC win – 17%. The home team gets the highest chance due to their superior league position, an unbeaten run of five matches, and a dominant recent head-to-head record (4 wins in the last 5 meetings). North Texas SC’s poor away form and defensive issues reduce their likelihood of an upset. The draw is a realistic possibility given Saint Louis II’s three draws in their last five.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently available from bookmakers for this fixture. With no market data, our prediction is based purely on the stats. Saint Louis II are the clear favorites to win, but the draw cannot be ruled out. A correct score prediction would lean towards a low-scoring affair, given Saint Louis II’s recent scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-1. Our final pick: Saint Louis II to win, but cautious bettors may consider the double chance of a home win or draw.