Northwich Victoria - Congleton Town prediction 13 October 2026

The Northwich Victoria vs Congleton Town prediction for October 13, 2026, points towards a closely contested Northern Division One fixture. Based on available odds and recent form, Congleton Town enters as a slight favorite with an estimated 38% win probability, while Northwich Victoria holds a 33% chance and the draw sits at 29%. The match kicks off at 19:45.

Team Form

Northwich Victoria's recent form is poor, with four losses in their last five matches. They suffered a heavy 6-3 defeat away to Bootle on Oct 6, followed by a 3-2 loss at Mossley on Sep 22, and a 3-0 defeat at Hanley Town on Sep 15. Their only win in this stretch came in the FA Cup against Bootle on Aug 26, a 1-0 away victory, before losing 1-0 at Horbury Town on Aug 25.

Congleton Town's form is also inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five. They won a thrilling 4-3 match away at Clitheroe on Oct 6, but lost 2-1 at home to Shifnal Town on Sep 29, and 3-1 away to Witton Albion on Sep 26. They also lost 1-0 at home to Bootle on Sep 22, with a 4-1 home win over Atherton Collieries in the FA Trophy on Aug 29.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Northwich Victoria and Congleton Town, with zero wins, draws, or losses for either side. This match will be their first meeting in available data.

League Table Positions

Neither Northwich Victoria nor Congleton Town appear in the top 12 of the provided Northern Division One overall standings. The table is led by Bury with 87 points from 41 matches. The home standings show Bury top with 48 points from 21 games, while Avro leads the away standings with 43 points from 21 matches.

Win Probability: Northwich Victoria or Congleton Town?

Northwich Victoria has a 33% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Congleton Town has a 38% chance. These probabilities are derived from the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.40, draw 2.30, away 2.30), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for recent form. Congleton Town's slight edge comes from their marginally better recent results, including a high-scoring away win, compared to Northwich Victoria's run of heavy defeats. The lack of head-to-head data and missing league positions for both teams limit further adjustment, making this a tight call with Congleton Town the narrow favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied odds for this match. The best available home win odds for Northwich Victoria are 3.40, the draw is priced at 2.30, and an away win for Congleton Town is also at 2.30. Based on the stats, the match is expected to be competitive, but Congleton Town's slightly stronger form gives them a marginal advantage. The prediction leans towards an away win or draw, with both teams likely to score given recent defensive vulnerabilities.