Norway - Wales prediction 14 November 2026
Norway
Wales
PortugalNorwayWalesNorwayNorwayPortugalNorwayDenmarkNorwayEnglandBrazilNorwayCote d'IvoireNorwayNorwayFranceNorwaySenegalIraqNorwayMoroccoNorwayNorwaySwedenNorwaySwitzerlandNetherlandsNorwayNorwayNew ZealandWalesDenmarkWalesNorwayDenmarkWalesPortugalWalesRomaniaWalesWalesGhanaWalesNorthern IrelandWalesBosnia-HerzegovinaEnglandWalesWalesCanadaWalesIcelandTurkeyWalesWalesMontenegroWalesGibraltarWalesKorea Republic| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | 1.13 | 1.13 | |
| 1.25 | 2.80 | 8.50 | |
| 1.21 | 2.88 | 7.90 |
- 21Andreas Schjelderupmidfielder
- 7Antonio Nusamidfielder
- 3David Mรธller Wolfedefender
- 1Egil Selvikgoalkeeper
- 9Erling Haalandforward
- 8Fredrik Aursnesmidfielder
- 3Kristoffer Ajerdefender
- 4Leo รstigarddefender
- 10Martin รdegaardmidfielder
- 7Patrick Bergmidfielder
- 16Sander Bergemidfielder
- 22Erik Botheim
- 20Fredrik Sjรธvold
- 11Jรธrgen Strand Larsen
- 18Kristian Thorstvedt
- 16Marcus Pedersen
- 4Odin Bjรถrtuft
- 11Ole Didrik Blomberg
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 1รrjan Nyland
- 12Sander Tangvik
- Sondre Langรฅs
- 19Thelo Aasgaard
- 4Ben Daviesdefender
- 22Brennan Johnsonforward
- 14Connor Robertsdefender
- 21Danny Wardgoalkeeper
- 4Ethan Ampadudefender
- 3Jay Dasilvadefender
- 8Jordan Jamesmidfielder
- 9Lewis Koumasforward
- 10Liam Cullenforward
- 3Neco Williamsdefender
- 8Wes Burnsforward
- 2Chris Mepham
- 45Cian Ashford
- 20Daniel James
- 1David Cornell
- 16Jayden Lienou
- 27Joel Colwill
- 8Josh Sheehan
- 19Kieffer Moore
- 18Mark Harris
- 31Tom King
WalesNorway| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Wales vs Norway Prediction (Oct 1)
The Wales vs Norway prediction for October 1, 2026, points towards an away victory in this UEFA Nations League clash. Bookmakers and recent form suggest Norway are the favorites, with a calculated win probability of 52%, while Wales sit at 22% and the draw at 26%. The match kicks off at 19:45 at Cardiff City Stadium.
Team Form
Wales enter this fixture in poor shape. Their last five results read L, L, L, D, D, with three consecutive defeats in competitive and friendly matches. The most recent was a 2-0 loss away to Denmark on September 27, preceded by a 1-0 defeat at Portugal. They have failed to score in two of their last three outings.
Norway's form is far stronger: L, W, D, W, W. Despite a 2-1 home loss to Portugal on September 27, they beat Denmark 3-2 just days earlier. Their World Cup campaign included wins over Brazil (2-1) and Cote d'Ivoire (2-1), showing they can score consistently against quality opposition.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no recorded head-to-head history between Wales and Norway. The data shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, making this the first meeting in recent competitive memory. This lack of H2H data means form and league standings carry extra weight in the Wales vs Norway prediction.
League Table Positions
In the overall UEFA Nations League standings, neither team appears in the top 12. However, Norway feature in the home standings with 3 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 loss), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Wales are absent from both home and away leaderboards, reflecting their poor start to the campaign with zero points from their opening fixtures against Denmark and Portugal.
Win Probability: Wales or Norway?
Based on the available odds, form, and home/away factor, the calculated win probabilities are: Wales 22%, Draw 26%, Norway 52%. The odds imply Norway as clear favorites, and their superior recent resultsโincluding World Cup knockout experienceโreinforce that. Wales' home advantage at Cardiff City Stadium is offset by a run of five games without a win. Norway are more likely to win, with the draw a realistic second outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Norway as the favorite. The best available odds for an away win are as short as 1.55, while a Wales home win reaches up to 6.56. The draw trades around 2.42 to 4.70 across the market. Based on the stats, the Wales vs Norway prediction is an away win, but the draw holds value given Wales' two recent stalemates. A low-scoring affair is possible, with Norway's attack likely to make the difference.
Wales vs Norway โ FAQ
- Who will win Wales vs Norway?
- Norway are the most likely winners with a 52% probability. Wales have a 22% chance, and the draw is estimated at 26%. This is based on Norway's stronger recent form and the bookmaker odds.
- What is the win probability for Norway?
- Norway have a 52% chance of winning this UEFA Nations League match. Their recent record of three wins in five, including victories over Denmark and Brazil, supports this favoritism.
- When is the Wales vs Norway match?
- The match is on October 1, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture taking place at Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds show Norway away win at 1.55, the draw at 2.42, and a Wales home win at 6.56. These odds reflect Norway's status as the clear favorite.