Notts County - Nottingham Forest U21 prediction 13 October 2026

The Notts County vs Nottingham Forest U21 prediction for this EFL Trophy clash at Meadow Lane on Oct 13 at 19:00 points towards a home win. Based on the latest odds, form, and league status, Notts County has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Nottingham Forest U21 has a 28% chance.

Team Form

Notts County's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L, W, L, L, D). Their most recent outing was a 1-2 home defeat to Oxford United in League 1 on Oct 10. Their only win in this period came in the EFL Trophy against Grimsby Town on Sep 22, a 2-1 victory at home.

Nottingham Forest U21 arrives in stronger form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five (W, L, D, W, W). They are coming off a high-scoring 5-1 away win against Peterborough United U21 in the Premier League Cup U21 on Oct 9. Their only recent defeat was a 2-4 home loss to Sporting Lisbon B on Sep 30.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Notts County and Nottingham Forest U21. This will be the first competitive meeting between the senior side and the development squad.

League Table Positions

Notts County competes in League 1, the third tier of English football, facing professional senior teams week in and week out. Nottingham Forest U21 plays in Premier League 2 U21 and various cup competitions for development sides. The difference in competitive intensity and physicality typically gives the senior EFL side a structural advantage in the EFL Trophy, despite the youth team's promising individual talent.

Win Probability: Notts County or Nottingham Forest U21?

Notts County has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Nottingham Forest U21 has a 28% chance. The calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and adjusted for team form and the home advantage factor. The odds imply a strong home favorite, but Forest U21's superior recent form (three wins in five) adds a layer of uncertainty, increasing their win probability and the draw likelihood compared to the raw odds.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Notts County as the favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 2.02, while a draw can be backed at 4.70, and an away win for Nottingham Forest U21 is priced at 3.50. These odds reflect the senior team's home advantage and league status. Based on the stats, Notts County is more likely to win, but the value might lie in the double chance market given the visitors' attacking form. Our prediction is a home win, but with caution advised.