Nouakchott Kings - ASC Snim prediction 11 October 2026

The Nouakchott Kings vs ASC Snim prediction for the Mauritania Division 1 match on October 11, 2026, at 20:50 points to a tight contest where the draw is the most probable outcome. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, the draw has a 40% chance, while both sides have an equal 30% win probability. Read on for detailed betting tips, odds, and a full match preview.

Team Form

Nouakchott Kings come into this match with a mixed recent record. Their last five results show three wins followed by two losses: a 2-0 home victory over Kaedi FC, a 3-2 home win against Nouadhibou, and a thrilling 4-3 away success at Chemal, before falling 1-2 at home to Nouakchott Academie and 1-3 to Tevragh-Zeine in the Cup. The Kings have scored in four of those five matches, but defensive lapses have cost them points.

ASC Snim’s form is equally inconsistent. Their last five outings read L, W, L, L, W: a 1-2 away defeat at Nouakchott Academie, a strong 2-0 away win over Tevragh-Zeine, a 0-1 home loss to Pompier, a 1-2 reverse at Inter Nouakchott, and a 2-1 away victory at ASC Police. Snim have struggled for consistency on the road, winning only two of those five away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Nouakchott Kings. In 12 previous meetings, the Kings have won 5, drawn 4, and lost 3. At home, they have dominated recent encounters: the last four home H2H matches produced three wins (2-0, 4-1, 2-0) and one loss (2-3 in December 2025). That 3-2 defeat in the most recent clash will give ASC Snim hope, but historically the Kings have been the stronger side in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the Division 1 overall standings, Nouakchott Kings sit 8th with 34 points from 26 games (8 wins, 10 draws, 8 losses), while ASC Snim are just behind in 9th with 33 points (7 wins, 12 draws, 7 losses). The Kings’ home form has been underwhelming – they are not among the top eight home sides, having collected only 15 points from 13 home matches. Snim’s away record is slightly better: they rank 7th in the away table with 18 points from 13 trips (4 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). This suggests the visitors are capable of taking something from the game.

Win Probability: Nouakchott Kings or ASC Snim?

After analysing the odds, recent form, head-to-head statistics, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Nouakchott Kings win: 30%
• Draw: 40%
• ASC Snim win: 30%

The draw is the most likely outcome, reflecting the bookmakers’ odds (draw at 2.00) and the fact that both teams are closely matched in the table. Nouakchott Kings’ strong H2H home record gives them a solid chance, but their poor home form this season and ASC Snim’s respectable away performances balance the probabilities. Overall, this is a game where a stalemate is the safest prediction.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers are: Nouakchott Kings 3.00, Draw 2.00, ASC Snim 3.60. These odds imply a 40-45% chance for the draw, which aligns with our probability model. The home win is priced at 3.00, while the away win is the outsider at 3.60.

Our final Nouakchott Kings vs ASC Snim prediction: based on the stats, the most likely result is a draw. However, if you are looking for a winner, Nouakchott Kings have the edge thanks to their historical dominance at home in this fixture. A low-scoring draw or a narrow Kings victory are the two most realistic outcomes.