Nove Zamky - Gabcikovo prediction 10 October 2026

The Nove Zamky vs Gabcikovo prediction for October 10, 2026, in Slovakia's 3 Liga sees a tightly contested match where both sides have struggled for consistency. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Nove Zamky holds a slight advantage as the home team, with a 35% win probability, while the draw sits at 35% and Gabcikovo at 30%.

Team Form

Nove Zamky's last five matches: D, L, L, L, W. They managed a goalless draw away to TJ Kovo Belusa, then suffered heavy home defeats to AS Trencin B (2-5) and FC Nitra (1-5), lost 1-3 at Druzstevnik Velke Ludince, but ended the run with a 2-1 home win over Spartak Myjava. Conceding 13 goals in those five outings points to defensive frailties.

Gabcikovo's recent form reads W, L, D, D, L. A 5-2 home thrashing of Druzstevnik Velke Ludince was followed by a 0-2 loss at Spartak Myjava, then consecutive 1-1 draws against Puchov (home) and Dunajska Luzna (away), and a 0-1 home defeat to KFC Komarno B. They have scored in three of the last five but lack defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice previously in the 3 Liga. Nove Zamky won the home fixture 2-1 on September 27, 2025, and the most recent clash on April 25, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw at Gabcikovo. Nove Zamky remains unbeaten in this head-to-head series (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses).

League Table Positions

Detailed league table data is unavailable for this match, so direct positional comparison cannot be made. Both clubs compete in the same division, and their similar form suggests they are likely in mid‑table or lower regions.

Win Probability: Nove Zamky or Gabcikovo?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Nove Zamky 35%, Draw 35%, Gabcikovo 30%. This assessment starts from bookmaker odds (home 3.00, draw 2.15, away 3.10) which, after removing the margin, imply a 29.7% home win, 41.5% draw, and 28.8% away win. We adjusted these numbers upward for Nove Zamky because of their unbeaten H2H record and home advantage, while the draw probability stays high due to both teams' inconsistent form. Gabcikovo's chance is slightly lower because of their poor away results (no away win in the last three, one draw).

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from bookmakers show a home win at 3.00, a draw at 2.15, and an away win at 3.10. The draw is the favourite outcome according to the market, reflecting the expectation of a close contest. Based on the stats, the match is likely to be a low-scoring affair with neither side strong enough to dominate. Nove Zamky's home form and H2H edge give them a marginal advantage, but a draw looks the safest call.