Svaty Jur vs Nove Zamky prediction for the Slovakia Cup match on Oct 13 at 14:00. Based on the latest odds and team stats, Nove Zamky are the clear favourite with a 60% win probability, while Svaty Jur have a 15% chance and the draw is 25%.
Svaty Jur come into this Cup tie with three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. On Sep 2 they beat Dunajska Luzna 2-1, and on Aug 19 they won 5-1 against TJ Malinovo. Their two defeats came against FK Raca Bratislava (0-1) and Slovan Bratislava (0-7). An 8-2 away win over Budmerice FC on Jul 30 shows they can score heavily. Their cup form is mixed, with high-scoring wins but also heavy losses.
Nove Zamky have struggled recently in 3 Liga, recording one win, one draw and three losses in their last five. They beat Gabcikovo 2-1 on Oct 10 and drew 0-0 with TJ Kovo Belusa, but lost heavily to AS Trencin B (2-5) and FC Nitra (1-5). Another defeat came away at Druzstevnik Velke Ludince (1-3). Their defensive record has been poor, conceding five goals twice in recent matches.
According to the available data, there is no previous head-to-head record between Svaty Jur and Nove Zamky. The H2H stats show zero wins for Svaty Jur, zero draws, and zero wins for Nove Zamky.
Based on bookmaker odds, recent form and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Svaty Jur has a 15% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Nove Zamky has a 60% chance. Using the inverse of the odds and normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, the raw implied probabilities are around 11% for Svaty Jur, 24% for the draw and 66% for Nove Zamky. After adjusting for Svaty Jur's slightly better recent cup form and home advantage, the final probabilities are 15%, 25%, and 60%. The odds strongly favour Nove Zamky, and they remain the most likely winners.
The best available odds show Svaty Jur at 9.00, the draw at 2.88 and Nove Zamky at 1.62. Other bookmakers price Nove Zamky at 1.50, 1.28 or 1.23, while the draw is offered at 5.50 or 5.70. Betting tips: based on the stats, Nove Zamky are the team to back for the win. Total goals could be high: Svaty Jur's recent cup matches have featured 9 and 8 goals, while Nove Zamky conceded five goals twice in their last five games. Bookmakers see Nove Zamky as the favourite, and the final prediction is an away win for Nove Zamky.