Novi Pazar - Zemun prediction 19 September 2026

The Novi Pazar vs Zemun prediction for the SuperLiga match on Sep 19, 2026, at 15:00 points to a comfortable home win. Based on the latest stats, Novi Pazar has a 55% chance of winning, while Zemun’s poor form gives them only a 15% probability. The draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Novi Pazar’s recent results show a mixed but competitive run. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. They drew 1-1 away at Cukaricki Stankom, beat Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-0 at home, drew 1-1 with FK Macva Sabac, lost 1-0 at Radnik Surdulica, and beat Vojvodina 2-0 at home. That’s eight points from a possible 15, keeping them in the top half.

Zemun, on the other hand, are in a deep crisis. They have lost all of their last five league matches: 2-1 at Vojvodina, 0-2 at home to Crvena Zvezda, 1-0 at OFK Beograd, 0-1 at home to Mladost Lucani, and 3-0 at Radnicki 1923. With zero points and a goal difference of 1-9 in that span, confidence is rock bottom.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Novi Pazar. In five previous meetings, Novi Pazar have won once and drawn four times, remaining unbeaten against Zemun. The most recent clash was a 0-0 friendly in July 2026. The last competitive fixture, a Prva Liga match in March 2020, ended 1-1. Historically, Zemun have never beaten Novi Pazar.

League Table Positions

Novi Pazar sit 7th in the SuperLiga with 12 points from 9 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). At home, they are even stronger – 4th in the home table with 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Zemun do not appear in the top 12 of the overall standings, nor in the top 8 away table, indicating they are near the bottom of the league. The gap in quality and position is significant.

Win Probability: Novi Pazar or Zemun?

Novi Pazar has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Zemun has a 15% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (1.44 home, 2.38 draw, 5.50 away), then adjusted for the teams’ contrasting form and the one-sided head-to-head record. Home advantage and Zemun’s five-match losing streak further increase the likelihood of a Novi Pazar victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Novi Pazar vs Zemun prediction are 1.44 for a home win, 2.38 for the draw, and 5.50 for an away win. Bookmakers clearly see Novi Pazar as the favourite. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a Novi Pazar win, but the high number of draws in the H2H record (four out of five) suggests the draw cannot be ruled out. A low-scoring home win or a stalemate are the likeliest scenarios.