Agropecuario Reserves - Nueva Chicago Reserves prediction 20 August 2026

The Agropecuario Reserves vs Nueva Chicago Reserves prediction for August 20, 2026, points to a tight contest in the Primera Nacional. Reserve League. Bookmakers see this as a balanced match, but based on recent form and head-to-head data, Nueva Chicago Reserves hold a slight edge with a 38% win probability, compared to 32% for Agropecuario Reserves and a 30% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Agropecuario Reserves come into this match with a shaky run of results: L, W, L, D, L in their last five outings. They suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Chacarita Juniors Reserves on Aug 11, though they did manage a 2-1 home win against Club Almagro Reserves on Aug 06. Overall, they have lost three of their last five, scoring just 3 goals while conceding 9.

Nueva Chicago Reserves are unbeaten in their last five matches: D, D, W, D, W. Their most recent fixture was a 0-0 home draw with CA Temperley Reserves on Aug 13. They have kept three clean sheets in this run and scored 6 goals, conceding 0. This defensive solidity makes them a tough opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, on Oct 16, 2025, in the same competition. That match ended in a 1-1 draw. With 0 wins for Agropecuario Reserves, 0 for Nueva Chicago Reserves, and 1 draw, the H2H record suggests little to separate them historically.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall league standings, indicating both are mid-to-lower table sides. The available standings data does not include their exact positions, but the top of the table is led by Velez Sarsfield Reserves with 32 points from 13 games. The competitive nature of the league means every point is crucial for both teams.

Win Probability: Agropecuario Reserves or Nueva Chicago Reserves?

Based on the available odds, form, and H2H record, we calculate the following win probabilities: Agropecuario Reserves have a 32% chance of winning, a draw has a 30% probability, and Nueva Chicago Reserves have a 38% chance. The odds imply a tight match, but Nueva Chicago Reserves' superior recent form—unbeaten in five with no goals conceded—gives them the edge. Agropecuario Reserves' home advantage is offset by their poor defensive record.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. The best available home win odds are 3.75, a draw is priced at 1.85, and an away win at 3.10. Other bookmakers have the match even closer, with one offering 2.60 for both a home and away win. These odds reflect the uncertainty, but the draw odds being as low as 1.85 suggest the market expects a stalemate. Our prediction: based on the stats, Nueva Chicago Reserves are more likely to avoid defeat, with a draw being a very realistic outcome.