Nueva Chicago Reserves vs CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve prediction for the Primera Nacional. Reserve League match on Sep 24, 2026, at 16:00. Based on the stats, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 38% probability, while Nueva Chicago Reserves has a 35% chance and CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve a 27% chance.
Nueva Chicago Reserves come into this match with a mixed recent record: one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 1-0 away defeat to CA San Miguel Reserves on Sep 1. Before that, they beat CA Ferrocarril Midland Reserves 3-1 at home on Aug 26, and drew 2-2 at Agropecuario Reserves on Aug 20. Two goalless draws followed against CA Temperley Reserves (Aug 13) and Talleres Remedios De Escalada Reserves (Aug 6).
CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve are in stronger form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They won 1-0 away at Club Almagro Reserves on Sep 17, thrashed Acassuso Reserves 4-1 at home on Sep 10, and edged Chacarita Juniors Reserves 3-2 at home on Sep 2. A 0-0 draw at Club Almagro Reserves on Aug 27 and a 2-1 home loss to CA Atlanta Reserves on Aug 20 complete their recent run.
These sides have met only once before, on Jul 3, 2025, in the same competition. CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve hosted that match and lost 3-0 to Nueva Chicago Reserves. The head-to-head record stands at one win for Nueva Chicago Reserves, no draws, and no wins for CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve.
Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Primera Nacional. Reserve League standings, nor in the home or away top 8. This suggests both are positioned in the lower half of the table, with limited data available on their exact points and goal differences.
Based on the available odds, form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are: Nueva Chicago Reserves 35%, draw 38%, CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve 27%. The draw is the single most likely outcome, but if a winner emerges, the home side holds a slight edge thanks to their previous H2H victory and playing at home. The away teamโs superior recent form (three wins in five) keeps them competitive.
Bookmakersโ odds (from the 1X2 market) show the draw as the favourite: home win at 2.88, draw at 2.00, and away win at 4.00. These odds imply a high probability of a stalemate. Taking into account the team form and head-to-head data, the match prediction aligns with the odds โ a draw is the most probable result. However, Nueva Chicago Reserves cannot be ruled out given their 3-0 win in the only previous meeting. For betting tips, the draw looks the safest option, while a home win offers value for those looking at the H2H edge.