NuPS - SexyPoxyt prediction 18 September 2026

Our NuPS vs SexyPoxyt prediction for Sep 18, 2026 looks ahead to this Kolmonen clash in Finland. The match kicks off at 15:00 and there is no clear favorite: NuPS holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, the draw stands at 35%, while SexyPoxyt has a 30% chance according to our analysis based on recent form and head-to-head records.

Team Form

NuPS come into this fixture with a mixed run of results. In their last five matches they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. The most recent outing was a heavy 0-5 defeat away to Gilla FC on Sep 12. Before that they beat EPS II 2-0 at home, drew 2-2 at LoPa Lohja, and then suffered back-to-back home losses: 0-1 against LehPa and 0-2 against EIF Akademi. At home this season NuPS have been inconsistent, winning just one of their last three at this venue.

SexyPoxyt’s recent form mirrors that of their hosts with one win, one draw, and three defeats from the last five matches. On Sep 11 they lost 2-4 at home to EIF Akademi. Earlier they earned a convincing 3-0 home win over EsPa, lost 1-2 away at Pallo-Pojat Akatemia, went down 1-3 at home to Grifk Akatemia, and drew 2-2 away at EPS II. Their away performances have been shy of convincing, failing to win in their last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The two meetings between NuPS and SexyPoxyt have both taken place in the Kolmonen league. SexyPoxyt hold a slight historical edge with one win and one draw:

• Jun 10, 2026: SexyPoxyt 2-1 NuPS
• Sep 13, 2025: NuPS 2-2 SexyPoxyt

NuPS are yet to register a victory in this matchup, with the draw at home last season offering the best result so far.

Win Probability: NuPS or SexyPoxyt?

Based on the available data—including recent form, head-to-head history, and home advantage—we have calculated the outcome probabilities for this fixture. The numbers are derived from a neutral analysis, as no bookmaker odds are available to anchor the estimate.

• NuPS win: 35%
• Draw: 35%
• SexyPoxyt win: 30%

NuPS gets a marginal boost from playing at home, but the head-to-head data (0 wins in 2 tries) and recent scoring struggles temper that advantage. SexyPoxyt have been slightly more consistent in front of goal but have been poor travelers. A draw is the most balanced outcome and statistically the joint most likely result.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, no betting odds are available for this Kolmonen fixture. Our prediction is therefore based solely on statistical indicators. The smartest pick appears to be the draw, but with both sides in patchy form, a narrow victory for either team cannot be ruled out. We lean toward a low-scoring affair, with the draw holding the same probability as a home win. Bettors should wait for confirmed lineups and odds before making a decision.