Energie Cottbus - Nurnberg prediction 16 October 2026

The Energie Cottbus vs Nurnberg prediction for October 16, 2026, in Bundesliga 2 points to an away win, with Nurnberg given a 45% chance of victory. The match kicks off at 17:30 at Energie Cottbus's home ground, and bookmakers see the visitors as the favorites.

Team Form

Energie Cottbus come into this match with mixed results, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw at home to FC St. Pauli on September 20. Before that, they secured a 3-0 away win at Karlsruher SC, but also suffered a 4-3 home defeat to Greuther Furth and a 2-0 DFB Pokal loss to Augsburg. They have scored 14 goals in 6 league games but conceded 13, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Nurnberg, on the other hand, are in excellent form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They beat Ingolstadt 04 3-1 in a friendly, Karlsruher SC 1-0 away, Hannover 96 2-1 at home, and Arminia Bielefeld 4-1 at home. Their only draw was a 2-2 at Holstein Kiel. With 16 goals scored and only 6 conceded in 6 league matches, they are the division's second-highest scorers and boast a solid defense.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recent head-to-head record between Energie Cottbus and Nurnberg. The two sides have not faced each other in the data available, so this encounter provides a fresh matchup.

League Table Positions

Nurnberg sit 2nd in the Bundesliga 2 table with 16 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), just two points behind leaders Hertha Berlin. Energie Cottbus are 7th with 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). The 8-point gap reflects the visitors' superior consistency. At home, Energie Cottbus have taken 4 points from 3 games (1W,1D,1L), while Nurnberg have collected 7 points from 3 away matches (2W,1D).

Win Probability: Energie Cottbus or Nurnberg?

Based on the available odds, team form, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Energie Cottbus win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Nurnberg win: 45%

The bookmakers' average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) gave Nurnberg around 40%, but their dominant form—unbeaten in the league with 5 wins in 6—and strong away record justify an upward adjustment. Energie Cottbus's inconsistent home form and defensive issues lower their chances. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the hosts' ability to score, but Nurnberg are the clear favorites.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match show Nurnberg as the favorite. The best available odds across multiple bookies range from 2.75 to 3.20 for a home win, 2.50 to 4.00 for a draw, and 2.02 to 2.40 for an away win. These odds imply a tight contest, but the market leans towards the visitors.

Our prediction: Nurnberg to win. Based on the stats, form, and league positions, the away side has the highest probability of securing all three points. However, a draw cannot be ruled out, and betting on Nurnberg double chance could be a safer option.