Smedby Ais - Nykopings BIS prediction 2 October 2026

Smedby Ais vs Nykopings BIS prediction: Nykopings BIS are the clear favourites to win this Division 2 match on Oct 2, 2026 at 18:00. Our analysis gives the away side a 46% win probability, with Smedby Ais at 30% and the draw at 24%. Both recent form and the lopsided head-to-head record point toward an away victory.

Team Form

Smedby Ais have managed only 4 points from their last five matches (W1 D1 L3). They scored 5 goals and conceded 8 over that spell. The sole win came against Forward (3-1 on Aug 29), but three consecutive losses followed, including a 0-1 home defeat to Fittja and a 0-3 loss at FOC Farsta. Nykopings BIS picked up 7 points in the same period (W2 D1 L2), netting 9 goals and allowing 6. Their wins over Eker Orebro (3-0) and Lindo FF (3-0) were emphatic, though they fell 0-1 at Orebro Syrianska and lost 1-3 to Ragsveds IF. The away side’s attack looks sharper going into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

In the 7 previous meetings between these sides, Nykopings BIS have dominated with 5 wins, while Smedby Ais have won just 1 and there has been 1 draw. The most recent encounter on Jun 15, 2026, however, saw Smedby Ais pull off a shock 1-0 away victory – their only win in this fixture’s history. That result aside, Nykopings BIS had won every league meeting since 2022, making them the stronger side historically.

Win Probability: Smedby Ais or Nykopings BIS?

The win probabilities are: Nykopings BIS 46%, Smedby Ais 30%, draw 24%. These figures are derived from the bookmakers’ odds (normalized to remove margin) then adjusted for team form and head-to-head results. The odds implied an away win chance of about 41%, but Nykopings BIS’s better recent form and 5-1-1 H2H record push that number higher. Smedby Ais’s home advantage and their surprise win in June prevent the probability from being even more lopsided.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds are: Smedby Ais 2.72, draw 3.55, Nykopings BIS 2.18. Bookmakers see Nykopings BIS as the favourite, and the numbers back that up. Our match prediction is an away win for Nykopings BIS. The visitors have a superior record in this fixture and have shown better form recently. Still, the 1-0 win for Smedby Ais in the last head-to-head meeting is a warning that a close contest is possible.