OC Kerkennah - Bouhajla prediction 26 October 2026

Our OC Kerkennah vs Bouhajla prediction is here for this League 2 match on October 26, 2026, at 13:30. Based on the data, Bouhajla holds a narrow edge as the favorite despite playing away from home. Bookmakers and form guide point to a tight contest, but the visitors have a 40% probability of winning compared to OC Kerkennah's 30%, with a draw rated at 30%.

Team Form

OC Kerkennah's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five matches in all competitions read as L, D, L, W, D. Most recently, they suffered a 1-0 away defeat to US Tataouine on October 18. At home, they drew 0-0 with Agareb on October 11 and lost 2-1 to Msaken on September 26. They have managed two draws and one win in their last five, showing some resilience but struggling to turn performances into victories.

Bouhajla's recent form is weaker, with their last five results being L, L, L, D, W. They come into this fixture on the back of three consecutive losses: a 3-0 defeat to Stade Soussien on October 10, a 3-0 Cup loss to Esperance Sportive de Tunis, and a 1-0 home defeat to US Tataouine. However, prior to that slump, they drew 1-1 with AS Megrine and beat Chebba 3-0, showing they have the capability to produce positive results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Bouhajla. In their two previous meetings, Bouhajla has won twice, while OC Kerkennah has zero wins and there have been no draws. Their most recent encounter on January 25, 2026, saw Bouhajla win 1-0 at home. The earlier fixture on September 27, 2025, ended in a 1-0 away win for Bouhajla at OC Kerkennah. This perfect record gives Bouhajla a strong psychological advantage and shows they have been able to win both at home and away against this opponent.

League Table Positions

Looking at the Tunisian League 2 standings, neither OC Kerkennah nor Bouhajla appears in the provided overall top 12 league table. This indicates both teams are currently positioned outside the top twelve spots in the division. The absence from the upper echelons of the table suggests both sides face challenges in the league campaign, making this match an opportunity for either to gain crucial points to climb the standings.

Win Probability: OC Kerkennah or Bouhajla?

After calculating the odds and factoring in home advantage, recent form, and the dominant head-to-head record, here are the outcome probabilities: OC Kerkennah has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Bouhajla has a 40% chance of winning. The odds heavily favor the draw in the 1X2 market, but Bouhajla's perfect H2H record and OC Kerkennah's inconsistent home form tilt the balance slightly towards the away side. While the bookmakers see the draw as the most likely single result, Bouhajla's historical dominance makes them the more probable winner overall.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied odds for the outcome. In the 1X2 market, odds for a home win range from 2.18 to 3.10, odds for a draw sit between 1.85 and 2.75, and away win odds are between 3.35 and 4.00. The market consensus sees the draw as the most likely outcome, closely followed by a narrow home win. However, given Bouhajla has beaten OC Kerkennah in both of their historical meetings, including an away win, they represent the value pick. Based on the stats, Bouhajla is the predicted winner, likely by a one-goal margin.