Ham-Kam U19 - Odd U19 prediction 5 August 2026

Our Odd U19 vs Ham-Kam U19 prediction for the NM Cup U19 match on July 30, 2026, at 13:00 points to a closely contested tie. Bookmakers see Odd U19 as the favourite with odds of 2.10, but Ham-Kam U19's strong recent form and league standing suggest the value might lie with the away team. Based on the available data, we assign a 40% win probability to the home side, 25% to the draw, and 35% to an away victory.

Team Form

Odd U19's last five results (W-W-L-L-D) show inconsistency. They started brightly with a 4-0 home demolition of KFUM Oslo U19 on May 21 and a 3-2 victory over Sandnes Ulf U19 on April 1. A 2-1 loss at Stabaek U19 on March 22 and a 5-4 home defeat to Sarpsborg U19 on February 15 followed, before a 2-2 draw at home to Stabaek U19 in the NM Cup U19 on November 21, 2025. Despite the two recent wins, defensive frailties are evident.

Ham-Kam U19, in contrast, are flying with four wins in their last five (W-W-W-L-W). They trounced Honefoss U19 5-2 away on June 5, 2026, crushed Elverum U19 7-1 on the road on April 16, and hammered Asker U19 7-1 at home on October 23, 2025. A 2-0 home defeat to Ullensaker-Kisa U19 on October 9 was a blip, quickly righted by a 3-0 success against Baerum U19 on October 2. Their form entering this cup tie is formidable.

Head-to-Head Record

The two teams have met twice before, with the away side winning on both occasions. In the most recent encounter on Sep 26, 2025, in the NM Cup U19, Odd U19 went to Ham-Kam U19 and won 2-0. Earlier, on Mar 15, 2024, in Championship U19 action, Ham-Kam U19 returned the favour with a 2-1 away win. The H2H record stands at one victory apiece, with no draws.

League Table Positions

In the Championship U19 overall standings, Ham-Kam U19 sit 3rd with 13 points from six matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), showcasing a strong domestic campaign. Odd U19 are not among the top 12 in the provided table, indicating a lower league position. Ham-Kam U19 also rank 2nd in the home table with a perfect record, but this match is on the road where their form is not detailed. The table gap further strengthens the visitors' case.

Win Probability: Odd U19 or Ham-Kam U19?

We calculated the win probability by taking the inverse of the odds (home 2.10, draw 3.20, away 3.20) to derive the initial market expectations, then adjusting for recent form, head-to-head trends, and league standings. The base odds imply roughly a 43% chance for Odd U19, 28% for the draw, and 28% for Ham-Kam U19. However, Ham-Kam's four wins in five games and their higher league spot push the away probability up, while Odd's three defeats in five apply downward pressure. Consequently, our adjusted probabilities are: Odd U19 win 40%, draw 25%, Ham-Kam U19 win 35%. The match is therefore more balanced than the raw odds indicate, with Ham-Kam U19 having a realistic chance of an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match 1X2 odds see Odd U19 priced at 2.10, while both the draw and the Ham-Kam U19 away win are offered at 3.20. This pricing makes the home side the favourite, but the equal odds for the draw and away win hint at uncertainty. Our prediction, based on the stats, leans towards a high-scoring contest where both teams are capable of scoring. The final prediction: Ham-Kam U19 have the form to avoid defeat, so backing the draw or the away team offers value. This Odd U19 vs Ham-Kam U19 prediction suggests a tight encounter, with the away side more likely to take something from the game.