Odense BK Women - AGF Aarhus Women prediction 29 September 2026

The Odense BK Women vs AGF Aarhus Women prediction for Sep 29, 2026, in the Elitedivisionen Women sees AGF Aarhus Women as a slight favorite with a 37% win probability, despite bookmakers favoring the home side. This Danish women's football clash kicks off at 17:00, and our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings suggests a close contest.

Team Form

Odense BK Women are in poor form, with one draw and four losses in their last five matches. They drew 1-1 at ASA Aarhus Women on Sep 19, then suffered heavy defeats: 0-4 at home to Brondby IF Women, 0-4 at Fortuna Hjorring Women, 0-2 at home to Midtjylland Women, and 1-3 at KoldingQ Women. They have scored only 2 goals in these five games while conceding 14.

AGF Aarhus Women have mixed results: two wins and three losses. They lost 0-2 at home to Nordsjaelland Women on Sep 22, but then won 8-0 away to Silkeborg IF Women in the cup. In the league, they beat FC Copenhagen Women 4-2 at home on Sep 12, but suffered a 0-9 cup loss to Fortuna Hjorring Women and a 1-2 league defeat at Midtjylland Women on Sep 5. Their league form shows one win in the last three outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors AGF Aarhus Women. In 19 meetings, AGF Aarhus Women have won 11 times, Odense BK Women 4, with 4 draws. The last five encounters:

• Nov 22, 2025 – AGF Aarhus Women 6-0 Odense BK Women
• Sep 23, 2025 – Odense BK Women 0-0 AGF Aarhus Women
• May 3, 2025 – AGF Aarhus Women 0-1 Odense BK Women
• Apr 12, 2025 – Odense BK Women 3-2 AGF Aarhus Women
• Feb 1, 2025 (friendly) – Odense BK Women 0-4 AGF Aarhus Women

AGF Aarhus Women have won three of the last five, including a dominant 6-0 victory in the most recent league match.

League Table Positions

In the Elitedivisionen Women standings, Odense BK Women sit 8th with 7 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses, goals 5:18). AGF Aarhus Women are bottom in 10th with just 3 points from 8 games (1 win, 0 draws, 7 losses, goals 6:21). At home, Odense BK Women have played 3 matches, winning 1 and losing 2, scoring 2 and conceding 7. While Odense BK Women are slightly higher in the table, both teams are struggling near the relegation zone.

Odense BK Women vs AGF Aarhus Women Prediction

Win Probability: Odense BK Women or AGF Aarhus Women?

Based on the odds (home 2.12, draw 3.55, away 2.75), the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin are approximately 42% for an Odense BK Women win, 25% for a draw, and 33% for an AGF Aarhus Women win. However, adjusting for the head-to-head record (AGF Aarhus Women’s 11 wins in 19 meetings) and recent form (Odense BK Women without a win in five, AGF Aarhus Women with two wins in five), we shift the probabilities. Our final win probability assessment gives Odense BK Women a 35% chance, the draw 28%, and AGF Aarhus Women a 37% chance. Therefore, AGF Aarhus Women has a slight edge to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers’ odds price an Odense BK Women home win at 2.12, a draw at 3.55, and an AGF Aarhus Women away win at 2.75. This implies the market sees Odense BK Women as the favorite. However, our analysis, which weighs the historical dominance of AGF Aarhus Women in this fixture and the hosts’ dreadful form, suggests that the away side offers value. Our prediction: AGF Aarhus Women are more likely to win, but a draw is a strong possibility given both teams’ low scoring records. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline could be on the cards.