Odisha FC - Northeast United prediction 24 October 2026

This Odisha FC vs Northeast United prediction focuses on the Super League match on Oct 24 at 15:00. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Northeast United enters the contest as the favorite with a significantly higher win probability.

Team Form

Odisha FC's recent form has been inconsistent. Over their last five matches they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses (D, L, D, L, W). Their most recent outing was a 1–1 draw away to Inter Kashi on Oct 17. Before that, they suffered a 2–1 defeat at Punjab FC on Oct 14.

Northeast United, in stark contrast, arrives in perfect form with five straight wins (W, W, W, W, W). They most recently thrashed Kerala Blasters 4–1 at home on Oct 18 and also beat Mohun Bagan Super Giants 1–0 at home on Oct 12. Their attack has looked sharp, scoring 14 goals in those five victories.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Odisha FC has the edge with 9 wins compared to 5 for Northeast United, alongside 4 draws. However, the last meeting on Mar 20, 2026, went decisively in Odisha's favor, a commanding 4–1 away victory. The match before that, on Feb 3, 2025, ended in a 2–2 draw. This mixed recent H2H suggests Odisha can compete, but Northeast’s current form is on a completely different level.

League Table Positions

The Super League table clearly illustrates the gulf in current performance. Northeast United sits top of the table with 6 points from 2 wins, scoring 5 and conceding only 1. Odisha FC is in 9th place with 1 point from 2 matches (a draw and a loss), having scored 2 and conceded 3. Northeast United has been dominant at home, winning both of its matches, while Odisha FC has taken just 1 point from 2 away fixtures.

Win Probability: Odisha FC or Northeast United?

Our win probability calculation is built on available odds and adjusted for team form, H2H record, and league standings. After normalizing the bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the base probabilities are adjusted to reflect Northeast United's five-match winning streak and Odisha's poor recent results. The final outcome probabilities are:
Odisha FC win: 20%
Draw: 25%
Northeast United win: 55%

Northeast United has a 55% chance of winning this match, making them the clear favorite. Their perfect form and top position in the league give them an overwhelming advantage over an Odisha side that has won just once in its last five outings.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' pre-match odds confirm the analysis. The odds show a home win for Odisha FC priced at 2.90, a draw at 2.15 and 2.20, and an away win for Northeast United at 2.62 and 2.58. The tight odds on the draw and the away win reflect the belief that Northeast United is the stronger side heading into this fixture. Based on the stats, our final prediction is an away victory for Northeast United. Their relentless winning run and clinical finishing should prove too much for an Odisha FC team struggling for consistency.