Kalamata - OFI Crete prediction 18 October 2026

Kalamata vs OFI Crete prediction for Oct 18, 2026: Kalamata host OFI Crete in the Greek Super League at Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, with kick-off at 14:00. Kalamata are narrow favorites with a 37% win probability, the draw is at 33%, and OFI Crete have a 30% chance. This betting tips preview covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, odds, and win probability for the match outcome.

Team Form

Kalamata come into this fixture with mixed recent results. Their last five matches across all competitions produced one win, three draws, and one loss. They lost 0-1 at home to Panathinaikos on Sep 20, drew 1-1 with Larissa in the Cup on Sep 17, beat Volos NFC 3-1 on Sep 13, drew 1-1 at Atromitos on Sep 6, and drew 2-2 at Volos NFC in the Cup on Sep 1.

OFI Crete have stronger recent form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They lost 0-3 away to AEK Athens on Oct 10, drew 2-2 at home with Asteras Tripolis on Sep 20, beat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2-0 on Sep 17, won 1-0 at Olympiacos Piraeus on Sep 12, and beat Nestos Chrisoupolis 3-0 in the Cup on Sep 9.

• Kalamata last five: L, D, W, D, D
• OFI Crete last five: L, D, W, W, W

At home, Kalamata lost to Panathinaikos, drew with Larissa in the Cup, and beat Volos NFC 3-1. OFI Crete’s away league record shows 1 win and 2 losses, with 2 goals scored and 5 conceded, which offsets some of their overall form advantage.

Head-to-Head Record

The supplied head-to-head record shows no previous meetings between these teams: 0 Kalamata wins, 0 draws, and 0 OFI Crete wins. With no H2H trend to lean on, the win probability relies more on current form, league table positions, and bookmaker odds.

League Table Positions

OFI Crete sit 6th in the Super League with 10 points from 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Kalamata are 11th with 4 points from 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. The six-point gap and OFI’s better goal difference give the visitors a statistical edge, but Kalamata’s home advantage keeps the match outcome tight. OFI are 4th in the home table with 7 points from 3 home games and 7th in the away table with 3 points from 3 away games.

Win Probability: Kalamata or OFI Crete?

Based on the odds, team form, H2H, and league table, the win probability is: Kalamata has a 37% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and OFI Crete has a 30% chance. The bookmaker-implied probabilities were close between a Kalamata home win and the draw, with OFI Crete slightly behind. Kalamata’s home advantage gives them the narrowest of edges, but OFI’s better recent form and higher league position make them a live underdog.

Odds & Kalamata vs OFI Crete Prediction

Bookmakers list 1X2 odds of 2.35–2.45 for a Kalamata win, 2.05–3.10 for the draw, and 3.20–3.30 for an OFI Crete win. The selected market is 1X2, and the three available bookmaker lines are 2.45/2.05/3.30, 2.35/3.10/3.20, and 2.35/2.05/3.30. The low draw odds show that bookmakers see this as a closely matched encounter. Based on the stats, the most likely single outcome is a Kalamata win, but the draw is nearly as probable. A cautious betting tip is to avoid heavy stakes on the away side and consider the double chance for Kalamata or draw.