FK Macva Sabac - OFK Beograd prediction 17 October 2026

The FK Macva Sabac vs OFK Beograd prediction for October 17, 2026, points towards a closely contested SuperLiga match in Serbia. Based on the available data, OFK Beograd enters this fixture as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while the draw holds significant value at 35%. The match kicks off at 18:00.

Team Form

FK Macva Sabac's recent form is a concern. They are winless in their last five matches, recording three draws and two losses. Their latest outing was a 2-2 draw away at Cukaricki Stankom on October 10. Before that, they suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Mladost Lucani and a 2-0 loss at Zeleznicar Pancevo. They have managed just two goals in their last three games.

OFK Beograd's form is also inconsistent, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. Their most recent match was a high-scoring 3-5 home loss to Radnicki 1923 on September 19. They also lost 3-1 away to Radnicki Nis. However, they did secure a 1-0 home win against Zemun in late August, showing they can grind out results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides spans three previous meetings. FK Macva Sabac holds the advantage with 2 wins, while OFK Beograd has 1 win. There have been no draws. The most recent clash was on November 5, 2023, where OFK Beograd won 2-1 at home in the Prva Liga. However, FK Macva Sabac won both of their home fixtures in 2017 by identical 3-0 scorelines.

League Table Positions

Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the SuperLiga table. OFK Beograd sits in 11th place with 9 points from 10 matches, having scored 13 goals and conceded 21. FK Macva Sabac is just below them in 12th place, also on 9 points but from 11 games played. They have scored only 8 goals and conceded 19. A win for either side would be crucial in moving away from the relegation zone.

Win Probability: FK Macva Sabac or OFK Beograd?

Analyzing the data, the match outcome probabilities are calculated as follows: FK Macva Sabac has a 23% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and OFK Beograd has a 42% chance of winning. This calculation is based on the implied probabilities from the available odds, adjusted for the teams' recent form and league positions. While the home team historically dominates this fixture, OFK Beograd's slightly better league standing and the fact they won the most recent head-to-head encounter gives them a marginal edge. However, the high probability of a draw reflects both teams' poor form and low-scoring records.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match show a home win for FK Macva Sabac priced at 3.85, a draw at 2.10, and an away win for OFK Beograd at 2.42. The low odds for the draw confirm that the market expects a very tight, low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for the away side or a stalemate. The prediction is a double chance in favor of OFK Beograd or a draw.