Detonit Plackovica - Ohrid Lihnidos prediction 24 September 2026

Our Detonit Plachkovica vs Ohrid Lihnidos prediction for the North Macedonia 2nd League match on September 24, 2026, points to an away win. Ohrid Lihnidos enters the game as the clear favorite, with a 48% win probability, while Detonit Plachkovica has just a 17% chance of victory. The draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Detonit Plachkovica's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away to FK Belasica Strumica on August 30, 2026. Before that, they suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat at Skopje on May 23. At home, they beat FK Kozuf Gevgelija 3-2 on April 4, lost 2-4 to FK Osogovo Kocani on March 21, and edged Teteks 2-1 on February 28. Overall, Detonit Plachkovica has struggled for consistency, especially defensively.

Ohrid Lihnidos, on the other hand, has won three of their last five matches. They are coming off a 1-0 away loss to league leaders Pelister Bitola on September 19, but before that they secured a 2-1 home win over FK Euromilk Gorno Lisice U23 on September 13. In the Cup, they lost 1-0 at Novaci on September 9. Their away form in the league includes a convincing 3-0 win at Teteks on September 5 and a 5-1 home thrashing of FK Kozuf Gevgelija on August 30. Ohrid Lihnidos has been potent in attack, scoring 12 goals in their last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Ohrid Lihnidos. In four previous meetings, Ohrid Lihnidos has won three times, while Detonit Plachkovica has won once, with no draws. The most recent clash on November 25, 2025, saw Ohrid Lihnidos win 1-0 at home. Detonit Plachkovica's only victory came on November 23, 2024, when they won 3-1 away. Earlier encounters include a 2-0 win for Ohrid Lihnidos in the Cup on September 20, 2023, and a 2-0 league win on October 12, 2022. Ohrid Lihnidos has kept three clean sheets in those four matches.

League Table Positions

In the North Macedonia 2nd League standings, Ohrid Lihnidos sits in 3rd place with 12 points from 5 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scoring 12 goals and conceding 4. Detonit Plachkovica is 8th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), with a goal difference of 6:6. The gap between the two teams is 5 points, and Ohrid Lihnidos has a game in hand. Ohrid's strong home record (3 wins from 3) and solid away form (1 win, 1 loss) underline their superiority. Detonit Plachkovica does not appear in the top eight of the home standings, indicating weaker performances at their own ground.

Win Probability: Detonit Plachkovica or Ohrid Lihnidos?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Detonit Plachkovica has a 17% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Ohrid Lihnidos has a 48% chance. The bookmakers' odds (home 4.75, draw 2.20, away 1.70) imply a strong away favorite, and the historical H2H dominance of Ohrid Lihnidos (3 wins in 4 meetings) reinforces this. Ohrid's superior league standing and recent scoring form (12 goals in 5 games) make them the more likely winner. The draw probability is elevated due to the competitive nature of the league, but the stats point to an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current odds for the match are: Detonit Plachkovica win at 4.75, a draw at 2.20, and an Ohrid Lihnidos win at 1.70. Bookmakers clearly see Ohrid Lihnidos as the favorite. Our prediction, based on the stats, is an away win for Ohrid Lihnidos. The 1.70 odds offer value considering their 48% implied probability. A correct score prediction is not available, but the data suggests a low-scoring away win, possibly 1-0 or 2-1, given Ohrid's solid defense (only 4 conceded in 5 league games).