Novaci - Ohrid Lihnidos prediction 9 September 2026

The Novaci vs Ohrid Lihnidos prediction for the North Macedonia Cup match on Sep 09, 2026 at 14:00 is a clear away win. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head stats, Ohrid Lihnidos has a 60% win probability, while Novaci has just a 10% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Novaci's recent form is inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins and three losses. At home, they lost 0-1 to FK Belasica Strumica and beat FK Prespa Resen 2-0. Away, they managed a 2-1 win at Golemo Konjari but lost 0-3 to Ohrid Lihnidos and 1-2 to Teteks. Overall, they struggle to keep clean sheets and have lost three of their last five.

Ohrid Lihnidos, on the other hand, are in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five. Their only loss in that run was a 0-1 cup defeat at Sileks Kratovo. They have scored 16 goals in those five games, including a 3-0 away win at Teteks, a 5-1 home win over FK Kozuf Gevgelija, and a 7-1 thrashing of FK Sloga Vinica 1934. Their attacking power and defensive solidity make them strong favorites.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Ohrid Lihnidos. The two previous meetings both ended in away wins for Ohrid Lihnidos: a 3-0 victory on Apr 04, 2026, and a 1-0 win on Oct 11, 2025. Novaci have yet to score against them in this fixture.

Win Probability: Novaci or Ohrid Lihnidos?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Novaci win 10%, Draw 30%, Ohrid Lihnidos win 60%. This is based on the inverse of the best available odds (7.50 home, 2.63 draw, 1.67 away) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for the teams' recent form and the one-sided H2H record. The away side's superior form and historical dominance justify the high probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Ohrid Lihnidos as the clear favorite. The best odds for an away win are as low as 1.14, while Novaci can be backed at 11.00. The first set of odds from our data shows home win at 7.50, draw at 2.63, and away win at 1.67. Based on the stats, the prediction is an away win for Ohrid Lihnidos. Given the form gap, a bet on the away team looks the most solid option.