Sokol Horni Jiretin vs Oldrichov prediction: the home side enters this 5 Liga match as the favourite with a 45% win probability. The match is played on Oct 28 at 13:00 in the Czech Republic, and the bookmakers have also priced Sokol Horni Jiretin as the more likely winner. This prediction is based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head data.
Sokol Horni Jiretin's recent results show a draw followed by two wins (D, W, W). Their recent matches in the available data are all against Oldrichov: a 3-3 draw on Jun 10, 2023, a 2-0 home win on Nov 23, 2022, and a 4-2 away win on Apr 16, 2022. This run suggests solid form and confidence against this opponent.
Oldrichov come into this match with a W, W, W, L, W record across their last five matches. That includes a 1-0 away win at FK Tatran Kadan on Sep 27, 2026, a 2-1 away win at Slavoj Zatec, a 4-2 home win over Krupka, a 3-2 away loss at Banik Most-Sous B, and a 3-2 home win over Probostov. Four wins in five shows good form, but the only loss came away from home.
In the last three meetings between these two sides, Sokol Horni Jiretin have a clear advantage: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses.
Oldrichov have yet to beat Sokol Horni Jiretin in this sample.
Sokol Horni Jiretin has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Oldrichov has a 30% chance. These probabilities were calculated from the bookmaker odds (home 2.25, draw 3.75, away 2.50) after removing the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for the head-to-head record and home advantage.
The raw odds imply a home win probability of about 40%, a draw around 24%, and an away win around 36%. However, Sokol Horni Jiretin's 2-1-0 head-to-head record against Oldrichov and the fact they are playing at home push their chance up to 45%. Oldrichov's solid recent form keeps their chance at 30% instead of lower.
Conclusion: Sokol Horni Jiretin are the more likely winners, but Oldrichov should not be written off entirely.
The available odds for this 5 Liga match are: Sokol Horni Jiretin 2.25, Draw 3.75, Oldrichov 2.50. Bookmakers see Sokol Horni Jiretin as the favourite.
Based on the stats, the head-to-head record, and the home advantage, our Sokol Horni Jiretin vs Oldrichov prediction is a home win. The 2.25 odds offer some value given the 45% win probability we calculated. A draw at 3.75 is also a live possibility, especially if Oldrichov's away form holds up.