Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziadz prediction 19 September 2026

Our Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Grudziadz prediction for this II Liga match on Sep 19 at 15:00 is based on a detailed analysis of the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings. Chojniczanka Chojnice enters as the favorite with a 42% win probability, while Olimpia Grudziadz has a 31% chance of victory.

Team Form

Chojniczanka Chojnice's recent form has been strong, with results of W, D, D, W, W in their last five matches. In their most recent outing on Sep 12, they secured an impressive 5-1 away win against Swit Skolwin Szczecin. Before that, they drew 2-2 at home to Resovia Rzeszow on Sep 05. Over these five games, they have scored consistently and shown resilience.

Olimpia Grudziadz's last five results are D, W, W, L, W. They played a 1-1 draw away at Sokol Kleczew on Sep 11. A notable result was their 4-3 away cup win against Gornik Zabrze II on Sep 02. Their only recent defeat was a 1-3 home loss to Podhale Nowy Targ on Aug 29, which slightly dents their otherwise solid away form.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Chojniczanka Chojnice. In 15 previous meetings, Chojniczanka Chojnice has 8 wins, Olimpia Grudziadz has 1 win, and there have been 6 draws. The most recent clash on May 03 ended in a 2-2 draw at Chojniczanka Chojnice. Before that, Olimpia Grudziadz won 2-1 at home on Oct 19, 2025. The historical dominance of Chojniczanka Chojnice in this fixture is a key factor.

League Table Positions

In the II Liga overall standings, Olimpia Grudziadz sits in 10th place with 12 points from 8 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 12. Chojniczanka Chojnice is just behind in 11th place with 11 points from 8 matches, with a goal difference of 13 scored and 13 conceded. Interestingly, Olimpia Grudziadz tops the away form table with 12 points from 7 away games, while Chojniczanka Chojnice is 5th in the away standings with 7 points from 4 away matches. This match is a clash between a strong away side and a team with a dominant H2H record.

Win Probability: Chojniczanka Chojnice or Olimpia Grudziadz?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we have calculated the outcome probabilities. Chojniczanka Chojnice has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Olimpia Grudziadz has a 31% chance. The calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.40, draw 2.30, away 2.60), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Chojniczanka Chojnice's superior H2H record (8 wins to 1) and their strong recent form. Despite Olimpia Grudziadz's excellent away record, the historical dominance of Chojniczanka Chojnice in this matchup gives them the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match show Chojniczanka Chojnice as the favorite. The best available odds are 2.40 for a home win, 2.30 for a draw, and 2.60 for an away win. The tight odds reflect a competitive match, but the market leans towards the home side. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Chojniczanka Chojnice, but the draw is a significant possibility given Olimpia Grudziadz's ability to get results on the road.