Olimpia Grudziadz - Resovia Rzeszow prediction 12 October 2026

Olimpia Grudziadz vs Resovia Rzeszow prediction for October 12, 2026, in the Polish II Liga. After analyzing team form, head-to-head data and the latest odds, we give Olimpia Grudziadz a 55% chance of winning, a 25% probability of a draw, and Resovia Rzeszow just a 20% chance.

Team Form

Olimpia Grudziadz comes into this game with strong recent results. Their last five matches show three wins, one draw and only one loss (W-L-D-W-W). All those fixtures were away from home, including a 2-1 win at Zawisza Bydgoszcz and a 4-3 cup victory at Gornik Zabrze II. This run of away form makes them a confident side returning to their own stadium.

Resovia Rzeszow, on the other hand, is struggling. They are without a win in five matches (D-L-L-D-L). The latest outings include a 1-1 home draw with Avia Swidnik, a 2-0 loss at Stal Stalowa Wola, and a heavy 4-0 home cup defeat to Arka Gdynia. With only two points from the last 15 available, the visitors’ confidence appears low.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these two sides, the home team has won three times, with one draw and one away victory. This pattern underlines a tangible home advantage when Olimpia Grudziadz and Resovia Rzeszow clash. The most recent encounter, on March 1, 2026, saw Olimpia win 2-1 at home. Earlier, Resovia did manage a 3-0 away win in March 2025, but overall the historical advantage lies with the team hosting. With Olimpia as the home side this time, that trend strengthens their favorite status.

League Table Positions

Olimpia Grudziadz sits 11th in the II Liga standings with 15 points from 10 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 13 goals and conceded 16. Significantly, they top the away table, meaning their recent away record is among the best in the division. Resovia Rzeszow does not appear in the top 12 overall, indicating a lower league position and a more difficult campaign so far.

Win Probability: Olimpia Grudziadz or Resovia Rzeszow?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities: Olimpia Grudziadz has a 55% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and Resovia Rzeszow has a 20% chance. These figures start from the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (1.72 for a home win, 2.86 for the draw, 4.00 for an away win), then are adjusted upward for the home team due to their better recent form (3 wins in 5, compared to Resovia’s 0 wins in 5), the strong historical home advantage in this fixture, and Olimpia’s outstanding away form that suggests overall quality. Resovia’s poor run and lower league standing reduce their expected share.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Olimpia Grudziadz as the clear favorite. The average odds across six operators are 1.72 for a home win, 2.86 for a draw, and 4.00 for an away victory. These prices imply a probability distribution that matches our assessment: the hosts are the most probable winner. Taking into account the team form, head-to-head record, and standings, our Olimpia Grudziadz vs Resovia Rzeszow prediction leans towards a home victory. The value on the away side appears limited, while the draw is a possible but less likely outcome.