Olympic Kingsway - Fremantle City FC prediction 22 August 2026

The Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle City FC prediction for August 22, 2026, points towards a home advantage in this NPL Western Australia clash. Based on our win probability analysis, Olympic Kingsway enters the match as the favorite with a 48% chance of winning, while Fremantle City FC holds a 25% chance and the draw sits at 27%. The match kicks off at 07:00 UTC.

Team Form

Olympic Kingsway's recent form shows inconsistency with two draws, two wins, and one loss in their last five outings (D, D, W, W, L). Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 home draw against Sorrento FC on August 15. Prior to that, they recorded a 1-1 draw with Bayswater City and secured away wins against Western Knights (2-1) and Dianella White Eagles (3-0).

Fremantle City FC's last five results read L, D, D, W, W. They are coming off a 5-3 away defeat to Perth Glory Youth on August 15. Before that loss, they managed a 3-3 draw at South Melbourne in the Australia Cup and a 2-2 home draw with Perth SC. Their two victories came against Maitland FC (2-1) and Perth RedStar (3-0), both away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Olympic Kingsway, who have won 7 of the 14 meetings, with 4 draws and only 3 wins for Fremantle City FC. The most recent encounter was on June 16, 2026, in the Australia Cup, where Fremantle City FC won 3-1 at home. However, in their last NPL Western Australia meeting on May 16, 2026, the teams played out a 2-2 draw at Olympic Kingsway. Looking further back, Olympic Kingsway won 3-1 away in August 2025 and secured a 4-2 home victory in June 2025.

League Table Positions

Olympic Kingsway sits 2nd in the NPL Western Australia overall standings with 41 points from 21 matches (12 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 44 goals and conceded 28. Fremantle City FC is in 5th place with 32 points (8 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses), scoring 43 and conceding 34. The home/away splits reveal a key dynamic: Olympic Kingsway is the best away team in the league (26 points from 11 games), but their home form ranks only 6th (15 points from 10 games). Fremantle City FC's away record is 7th best (13 points from 10 games), while they are 3rd at home.

Win Probability: Olympic Kingsway or Fremantle City FC?

Olympic Kingsway has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Fremantle City FC has a 25% chance. These probabilities are calculated using the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.91, draw 2.50, away 3.00), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted based on team form and head-to-head record. Olympic Kingsway's superior league position (2nd vs 5th) and dominant H2H history (7 wins in 14 matches) support their favorite status, though their mediocre home form and Fremantle City's recent away wins prevent a higher probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Olympic Kingsway as the favorite, with the best home win odds at 1.91. The draw is priced at 2.50, and an away win for Fremantle City FC is available at 3.00. Based on the stats, Olympic Kingsway is the more likely winner, but the value may lie in the draw considering the home side's recent two stalemates and Fremantle City's resilience on the road. Our prediction is a closely contested match, with Olympic Kingsway having the edge.