Adet Aruba - Once Lobos Chalchuapa prediction 14 October 2026

Adet Aruba vs Once Lobos Chalchuapa prediction for the Segunda Division match on Oct 14, 2026, at 22:00. Bookmakers and recent form suggest a closely contested encounter, with Once Lobos Chalchuapa holding a slight edge. Our win probability analysis gives Adet Aruba a 30% chance, a draw 35%, and Once Lobos Chalchuapa 35%.

Team Form

Adet Aruba come into this match in poor shape. Their last five matches have yielded no wins (0W, 2D, 3L). They lost 1-2 at home to AD Forfut on Sep 1, drew 1-1 away at CD Neo Pipil on May 3, lost 0-2 away at CD Inca on Apr 18, lost 1-2 away at Fuerte Aguilares on Apr 5, and drew 1-1 at home to CD Talleres JR on Mar 29. The team has struggled both at home and on the road, conceding in four of those five games.

Once Lobos Chalchuapa are in stark contrast. They have won four and drawn one of their last five (4W, 1D), showing excellent form. They beat AD Forfut 2-1 at home on Sep 29, beat AD Academia Bp 2-1 at home on Sep 17, drew 2-2 at home with CD Cruzeiro on Apr 13, 2025, won 2-1 away at CD Inca on Apr 6, 2025, and won 2-0 at home against AD Espartano on Mar 30, 2025. The away side has been clinical, averaging over 1.8 goals scored per match in this run.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Adet Aruba and Once Lobos Chalchuapa. This will be their first competitive meeting.

Win Probability: Adet Aruba or Once Lobos Chalchuapa?

Based on the available odds and recent form, we have calculated the following probabilities: Adet Aruba win – 30%, Draw – 35%, Once Lobos Chalchuapa win – 35%. Bookmakers’ average implied odds initially gave Adet Aruba a 40% chance, the draw 37.3%, and Once Lobos Chalchuapa 22.7%. However, the contrasting form of both teams forced a significant adjustment: Adet Aruba’s winless run (0-2-3) reduces their chances, while Once Lobos Chalchuapa’s dominant streak (4-1-0) boosts theirs. The match is therefore tilted slightly towards the away side, but a draw remains the most probable single outcome when combining all factors.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this Segunda Division clash. The best available odds for a home win range from 1.91 to 2.50, the draw from 2.05 to 3.30, and an away win from 3.50 to 4.20. Given the form disparity, the value may lie in the away win or double chance market. Our prediction: a draw or an away win, with Once Lobos Chalchuapa more likely to take all three points.