Ontinyent - Villarreal C prediction 4 October 2026
Ontinyent
Villarreal C
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CD Boiro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 |  Sarriana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lalin | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 |  CD Barco | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Antela FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Portonovo SD | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Silva SD | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Villalbes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Alondras CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Celtiga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  CD Estradense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Atletico Arteixo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Atletico Coruna Montaneros CF | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Pontevedra B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Somozas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Viveiro CF | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  CD Arenteiro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
Ontinyent vs Villarreal C Prediction (Apr 02, 2026)
Our Ontinyent vs Villarreal C prediction for this Tercera Federacion clash on April 2, 2026, pointed to an away win, with Villarreal C holding a 65% chance of victory. The match has since ended 0-2, confirming the pre-match analysis. Below we break down the key stats that shaped this forecast.
Team Form
Ontinyent came into this fixture in poor shape, losing four of their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). The only win in that run was a 3-2 away victory at UD Castellonense on April 18. Home defeats to Atlรฉtico Levante UD (0-1), Saguntino (0-1), and Villarreal C (0-2) highlighted their struggles in front of goal.
Villarreal C, by contrast, were flying with four wins from five (W, L, W, W, W). Their sole loss was a 1-3 home reverse to Atlรฉtico Levante UD, but away wins at Atlรฉtico Levante UD (2-1 and 1-0), a 2-0 home success against Atzeneta UE, and a 4-0 thrashing of Hercules CF Reserves underlined their quality.
Head-to-Head Record
The historical head-to-head record heavily favoured Villarreal C. In seven previous meetings, Villarreal C won four times, Ontinyent once, with two draws. The most recent encounter before this match was a 1-0 away win for Ontinyent in November 2025, but Villarreal C had won the three prior clashes, including a 3-0 home victory in March 2025 and a 2-1 away win in November 2023.
League Table Positions
The provided league standings for Tercera Federacion do not include Ontinyent or Villarreal C among the top-ranked sides, so their exact table positions are unavailable. However, the form guide and H2H record clearly indicated Villarreal C as the stronger outfit.
Win Probability: Ontinyent or Villarreal C?
Based on the available data (team form, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor), we calculated the following win probabilities:
- Ontinyent win: 15%
- Draw: 20%
- Villarreal C win: 65%
Ontinyentโs dismal recent form, especially at home where they lost three of their last four, severely dented their chances. Villarreal Cโs strong away performances and historical dominance in this fixture made them the clear favourite. The 0-2 final scoreline reflected that probability gap.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds for this match were not available at the time of writing. Nevertheless, the statistical picture was unambiguous. Our prediction was a Villarreal C win, likely with a clean sheet given Ontinyentโs scoring woes. The actual resultโa 0-2 away victoryโvalidated that call.
Ontinyent vs Villarreal C โ FAQ
- Who will win Ontinyent vs Villarreal C?
- Villarreal C won the match 0-2 on April 2, 2026. Our pre-match win probability gave Villarreal C a 65% chance, the draw 20%, and Ontinyent just 15%.
- What is the win probability for Villarreal C?
- Villarreal C had a 65% win probability before the match. This was based on their superior recent form (four wins in five) and a dominant head-to-head record (four wins in seven meetings).
- When is the Ontinyent vs Villarreal C match?
- The match was played on April 2, 2026, at 17:30 local time. It was a Tercera Federacion fixture in Spain.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No bookmaker odds were available for this fixture. The prediction was made purely on team form and head-to-head statistics.
- What was the head-to-head record before the match?
- In seven previous meetings, Villarreal C had four wins, Ontinyent one win, and two draws. The most recent clash before April 2026 was a 1-0 away win for Ontinyent in November 2025.