Trem Desportivo AP - Oratorio AP prediction 17 May 2026

The Oratorio AP vs Trem Desportivo AP prediction for the Serie D match on May 17, 2026, points towards Trem Desportivo AP as the favorite. Based on the available data, Trem Desportivo AP has a 50% chance of winning, while Oratorio AP holds a 20% win probability and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Oratorio AP come into this match in poor form, with a recent record of L, L, D, D, L. They have failed to win any of their last five matches, conceding heavily in away defeats to Tocantinopolis TO (7-1) and Aguia de Maraba PA (5-1). At home, they lost 0-1 to Imperatriz MA and drew 3-3 with Tuna Luso PA.

Trem Desportivo AP's last five results are L, L, W, W, L. While they suffered two consecutive home defeats against America RN (1-4) and Sampaio Correa MA (1-2), they recorded an impressive away win at Sampaio Correa MA (2-0) and a home victory over Aguia de Maraba PA (2-0).

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Oratorio AP have won 3 matches, Trem Desportivo AP have won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent meetings in 2026 show a 2-2 draw on May 17 and a 2-0 win for Trem Desportivo AP on April 26. Oratorio AP's last win over Trem Desportivo AP was a 3-0 home victory in the Campeonato Amapaense in February 2026.

League Table Positions

Trem Desportivo AP currently sit 10th in the Serie D overall standings with 20 points from 10 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They are particularly strong at home, placed 5th in the home table with 13 points from 5 matches. Oratorio AP are not ranked inside the top 12, indicating a lower position in the league. Their away form is especially weak, as evidenced by heavy defeats on the road.

Win Probability: Oratorio AP or Trem Desportivo AP?

After analyzing the available data, the calculated win probabilities are: Oratorio AP win – 20%, Draw – 30%, Trem Desportivo AP win – 50%. Trem Desportivo AP's higher league ranking, better recent form (two wins in the last five), and Oratorio AP's ongoing winless streak heavily favor the away side. Although Oratorio AP have home advantage, their home record offers little confidence, and Trem Desportivo AP's away performances have been mixed but capable. The draw probability is significant, reflecting the two recent stalemates between these sides.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Trem Desportivo AP as the favorite. Our Oratorio AP vs Trem Desportivo AP prediction is that Trem Desportivo AP are the more likely winners, but the draw cannot be ruled out. A 1-2 away win is a plausible outcome given the form and head-to-head trends.