Orduspor 1967 - Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor prediction 17 October 2026

Orduspor 1967 vs Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor prediction for the Turkish Cup match on Oct 8, 2026. The home side are clear favorites according to bookmakers, and our win probability model gives Orduspor 1967 a 55% chance of winning, with the draw at 25% and an away win at 20%.

Team Form

Orduspor 1967 Last 5 Matches

• Oct 3: Orduspor 1967 0-3 Fatsa Belediyespor (L)
• Apr 12: Orduspor 1967 1-3 Sebat Genclik Spor (L)
• Apr 5: Yozgat Belediyesi Bozokspor 2-0 Orduspor 1967 (L)
• Mar 28: Bulancakspor 0-1 Orduspor 1967 (W)
• Mar 24: Orduspor 1967 1-3 Cayelispor (L)

Orduspor 1967 have struggled recently, losing four of their last five matches. Their only victory came away at Bulancakspor, while they conceded three goals in three of those defeats.

Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor Last 5 Matches

• Oct 3: Silivrispor 0-0 Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor (D)
• Sep 12: Kartal Bulvarspor 0-1 Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor (W)
• Apr 28: Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor 0-3 Yozgat Belediyesi Bozokspor (L)
• Apr 12: Bulancakspor 1-0 Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor (L)
• Apr 5: Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor 1-0 Cayelispor (W)

The away side have shown mixed form with two wins, one draw, and two losses. They kept clean sheets in both victories and the recent goalless draw, but suffered a heavy home defeat in April.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, on Dec 20, 2025, in the 3 Lig. Orduspor 1967 won that match 1-0 at home. The head-to-head record stands at 1 win for Orduspor 1967, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor.

Win Probability: Orduspor 1967 or Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor?

We calculate the outcome probabilities based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record. The raw odds imply a 56.7% chance for a home win, 25.5% for a draw, and 17.8% for an away win. Adjusting for Orduspor 1967's poor recent form (1 win in 5) and Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor's slightly better form (2 wins, 1 draw), we slightly lower the home win probability. Our final probabilities: Orduspor 1967 has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor has a 20% chance. The home team remains the most likely winner, but the draw is a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Orduspor 1967 win at 1.57, draw at 3.50, and Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor win at 5.00. These odds clearly indicate that the home side are strong favorites. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a home win, but given Orduspor 1967's recent struggles, a low-scoring match with a possible draw cannot be ruled out. Our Orduspor 1967 vs Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor prediction: Orduspor 1967 to win, but bettors may consider the draw as a value option.