Elfsborg U21 - Orgryte IS U21 prediction 22 September 2026

The Elfsborg U21 vs Orgryte IS U21 prediction for this Superettan U21 fixture on Sep 22 at 11:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Elfsborg U21 enter the match as slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while Orgryte IS U21 have a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Elfsborg U21 come into this match with a mixed but largely positive run: their last five results read L, W, W, W, D. The 3-0 defeat away to BK Hacken U21 in the Ligacupen Elite U21 on Aug 30 was a setback, but they responded with commanding wins over Norrby IF U21 (2-0) and IK Oddevold U21 (5-0), plus a 4-1 victory at GAIS U21. The 2-2 draw at home to Varbergs Bois U21 shows they can be held, but overall their attacking output has been strong.

Orgryte IS U21’s last five outings read L, D, W, W, D. A 1-0 loss at IFK Goteborg U21 on Sep 8 ended a four-match unbeaten streak. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Ljungskile U21, beat Varbergs Bois U21 1-0 away, and edged BK Hacken U21 2-1 at home. The 2-2 home draw with Norrby IF U21 in April highlights a tendency to share the points. Both sides have shown resilience, but Elfsborg’s recent home form (two wins and a draw in their last three at home) gives them a slight edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two U21 sides is closely contested. Across 11 previous meetings, Orgryte IS U21 have won 5, Elfsborg U21 have won 4, and 2 ended as draws. However, the most recent encounters have heavily favoured Elfsborg: a 5-1 away win in August 2023 and a 5-0 home victory in September 2022. The last time Orgryte beat Elfsborg was a 3-2 home win in April 2022. The trend suggests Elfsborg U21 have found a formula to dominate this fixture in recent seasons.

Win Probability: Elfsborg U21 or Orgryte IS U21?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds (home 2.45, draw 2.70, away 2.90) to remove the margin and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head trends, the win probabilities are: Elfsborg U21 40%, draw 30%, Orgryte IS U21 30%. The home side’s superior recent H2H record and strong attacking displays at home tip the balance, but Orgryte’s ability to grind out draws and their historical edge overall keep the contest open.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers see Elfsborg U21 as the favourites at 2.45, with the draw priced at 2.70 and an Orgryte IS U21 win at 2.90. These odds imply a tight match with no clear standout. Based on the stats, Elfsborg U21 are the more likely winners, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given both teams’ recent form. Our Elfsborg U21 vs Orgryte IS U21 prediction is a home win or a draw, with under 3.5 total goals a plausible secondary angle.