Orgryte - Sirius prediction 19 September 2026
Orgryte
Sirius
Djurgardens IFOrgryteOrgryteGAIS GoteborgHackenOrgryteOrgryteSiriusMalmo FFOrgryteOrgryteHammarby IFIFK GoteborgOrgryteEskilsminne IFOrgryteOrgryteHalmstads BKBrommapojkarnaOrgryteOrgryteAIKAIKOrgryteVasteras SKOrgryteOrgryteDjurgardens IFOrgryteHackenSiriusAIKSiriusElfsborgGAIS GoteborgSiriusBrondbySiriusOrgryteSiriusSiriusDegerfors IFVasteras SKSiriusSiriusMalmo FFFriska ViljorSiriusSiriusHackenMjallby AIFSiriusSiriusBrommapojkarnaHalmstads BKSiriusSiriusIFK GoteborgElfsborgSiriusOrgryteSiriusSiriusOrgryte| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 56:32 | +24 | 55 |
| 2 |  Hammarby IF | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52:21 | +31 | 49 |
| 3 |  Djurgardens IF | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 52:23 | +29 | 48 |
| 4 |  Hacken | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 47:30 | +17 | 45 |
| 5 |  Elfsborg | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 |  Vasteras SK | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 |  Malmo FF | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |  AIK | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:43 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 |  IFK Goteborg | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
| 10 |  Brommapojkarna | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:43 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 |  GAIS Goteborg | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31:26 | +5 | 31 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 23 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 23:41 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21:41 | -20 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 31:56 | -25 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstads BK | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 18:46 | -28 | 17 |
Orgryte vs Sirius Prediction (Sep 19)
Our Orgryte vs Sirius prediction for the Allsvenskan match on Sep 19, 2026, strongly favours Sirius with a 52% win probability. The league leaders travel to Gamla Ullevi to face an Orgryte side missing from the top 12, and bookmakers have installed the visitors as clear favourites.
Team Form
Orgryte are winless in their last five outings across all competitions, picking up three draws and two defeats. They lost 4-1 at Malmo FF on Sep 13, drew 1-1 at home to Hammarby on Sep 06, and suffered a 1-0 loss at IFK Goteborg on Aug 30. A 1-1 cup draw at Eskilsminne IF and a 1-1 home draw with Halmstads BK completed a run that produced just 4 goals scored and 8 conceded.
Sirius have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They beat Degerfors 2-0 at home on Sep 14, won 1-0 at Vasteras SK on Sep 05, and were edged 1-0 at home by Malmo FF on Aug 31. A 2-0 cup victory at Friska Viljor and a heavy 3-0 home loss to Hacken round off their recent results. Over these five games, Sirius scored 5 and conceded 4, showing resilience on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The only head-to-head meeting this season ended in a 2-0 home win for Sirius on May 11, 2026. That reverse fixture saw Orgryte fail to score, and the overall H2H record now stands at 0 Orgryte wins, 0 draws, and 1 Sirius victory.
League Table Positions
Sirius sit top of the Allsvenskan with 48 points from 21 matches (15W 3D 3L), scoring 50 goals and conceding 27. Their away form is outstanding โ 8 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss, yielding 25 points from 10 away games. Orgryte are not listed in the available top 12 overall standings, nor in the home or away top-eight tables, highlighting a significant gap between the two sides.
Win Probability: Orgryte or Sirius?
Based on odds, recent form, head-to-head, and league positions, the calculated outcomes are:
- Sirius win: 52%
- Draw: 30%
- Orgryte win: 18%
We started by converting average bookmaker odds (Orgryte 4.96, draw 3.06, Sirius 1.74) into implied probabilities and normalised for the margin. Sirius's dominant away record (8-1-1) and Orgryte's poor form and absence from the top half of the table reinforce the away favourite. The 30% draw chance reflects Orgryteโs three draws in five, but the quality gap points to a likely Sirius victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Sirius as the favourite with odds ranging from 1.51 to 1.91 for an away win. The draw is priced between 2.60 and 4.70, while an Orgryte home win offers 4.50 to 5.30. These prices align with a high probability of a Sirius victory. Our final Orgryte vs Sirius prediction is an away win for Sirius, based on the stats and current form.
Orgryte vs Sirius โ FAQ
- Who will win Orgryte vs Sirius?
- Sirius has a 52% chance of winning, Orgryte 18%, and the draw 30%. Siriusโs strong away form (8 wins in 10) and top league position make them the clear favourites.
- What is the win probability for Sirius?
- Sirius has a 52% win probability. This figure is calculated from bookmaker odds, their league-leading 48-point total, and a recent away record of 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss.
- When is the Orgryte vs Sirius match?
- The Allsvenskan match kicks off on Sep 19, 2026, at 15:30 local time (Gothenburg) at Gamla Ullevi.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds of 1.51 to 1.91 for a Sirius win, 2.60 to 4.70 for the draw, and 4.50 to 5.30 for an Orgryte win. Sirius is the clear favourite across all odds.
- What is the head-to-head record between Orgryte and Sirius?
- The only recent head-to-head match was a 2-0 home win for Sirius on May 11, 2026, in the Allsvenskan. Orgryte have yet to win or draw in this fixture.