Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano prediction 20 September 2026
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
SevillaOsasunaOsasunaRacing SantanderReal BetisOsasunaOsasunaRayo VallecanoAtletico MadridOsasunaOsasunaEspanyolAlavesOsasunaOsasunaGetafeCelta VigoOsasunaOsasunaLevante UDOsasunaAl Ain Abu DhabiNapoliOsasunaNorwich CityOsasunaIpswich TownOsasunaOsasunaRacing SantanderRayo VallecanoElcheGetafeRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoAthletic BilbaoOsasunaRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoEspanyolReal MadridRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoRacing SantanderBarcelonaRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoAlavesSevillaRayo VallecanoIpswich TownRayo VallecanoRC Sporting CharleroiRayo VallecanoFeyenoordRayo VallecanoHeart of Midlothian FCRayo VallecanoCrystal PalaceRayo VallecanoOsasunaRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOsasunaOsasunaRayo VallecanoOsasunaRayo VallecanoOsasunaRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOsasunaOsasunaRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOsasunaOsasunaRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoOsasuna| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction (Sep 19)
The Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano prediction for September 19, 2026, points towards a home win at El Sadar Stadium. This Primera clash kicks off at 12:00, and based on our win probability analysis, Osasuna has a 45% chance of victory, while Rayo Vallecano sits at 30%, with a 25% probability of a draw.
Team Form
Osasuna's recent form is a concern, with three consecutive losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, W, W). They suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat at Atletico Madrid on Sep 16, followed by a 0-2 home loss to Espanyol and a 5-2 thrashing at Alaves. Earlier wins against Getafe (1-0) and Celta Vigo (2-1) show they can be competitive.
Rayo Vallecano's form is mixed (W, L, W, L, D). They beat Espanyol 2-1 at home on Sep 15, but lost 4-1 at Real Madrid. A 3-2 home win over Racing Santander and a 5-2 loss at Barcelona highlight their inconsistency, along with a 1-1 draw against Alaves.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Osasuna. In the last 9 meetings, Osasuna has 7 wins, Rayo Vallecano has 1, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent encounter on Jan 24, 2026, saw Osasuna win 3-1 away. At home on Sep 14, 2025, Osasuna won 2-0. Rayo's only win in this period was a 2-1 home victory on Apr 14, 2023.
League Table Positions
In the Primera overall standings, Rayo Vallecano is 11th with 7 points from 6 matches (2W, 1D, 3L), scoring 10 and conceding 15. Osasuna's exact position is not listed in the provided top 12, but their recent results indicate they are lower in the table. At home, Rayo Vallecano is 5th with 7 points from 3 games (2W, 1D, 0L), showing strong home form, but this match is at Osasuna's El Sadar Stadium.
Win Probability: Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano?
Calculating from the available odds (inverse of average odds: home 2.37, draw 2.37, away 3.42, normalized to remove margin), Osasuna has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Rayo Vallecano has a 30% chance. Osasuna's dominant H2H record (7 wins in 9) and home advantage are key factors, though their recent poor form adds risk. Rayo's inconsistent away performances make an away win less likely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds show Osasuna as the favorite, with average odds around 2.37 for a home win. The draw is priced at approximately 2.37, and an away win for Rayo Vallecano at 3.42. Based on the stats, the Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is a home win, but the draw is a strong possibility given both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities.
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano โ FAQ
- Who will win Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Based on our win probability analysis, Osasuna has a 45% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 25%. Osasuna is the most likely winner, driven by a dominant head-to-head record of 7 wins in 9 meetings and home advantage at El Sadar Stadium.
- What is the win probability for Osasuna?
- Osasuna has a 45% win probability for this match. This is calculated from bookmaker odds and adjusted for their strong H2H record against Rayo Vallecano, though their recent form of three losses in five games lowers their chances slightly.
- When is the Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano match?
- The Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano match is on September 19, 2026, at 12:00. It is a Primera fixture being played at El Sadar Stadium in Pamplona.
- What are the odds for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
- The average odds for this match are 2.37 for an Osasuna win, 2.37 for a draw, and 3.42 for a Rayo Vallecano win. These odds reflect Osasuna as the favorite, with the draw priced similarly to a home win.