Athletic Bilbao B Women - Osasuna Women prediction 3 October 2026

Athletic Bilbao B Women vs Osasuna Women prediction for the Primera Federacion Women match on Oct 3, 2026, at 11:30. Based on the latest odds and team form, Osasuna Women enter the match as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Athletic Bilbao B Women have a 22% chance. A draw is rated at 38%.

Team Form

Athletic Bilbao B Women

The home side are undefeated in their last five matches across all competitions. On Sep 26, they drew 1-1 away to Villarreal Women. Before that, they secured a 1-0 home win over UDG Costa Adeje Tenerife 2 Women on Sep 20. A 0-0 draw at CF Extremadura Women on Sep 13 was followed by a 2-1 friendly victory against Real Oviedo Moderno Women on Aug 29. Their most recent win was a 2-1 away success at Madrid CFF B Women on Apr 19. Overall, they have scored 6 goals and conceded 3 in these five games.

Osasuna Women

The visitors are also on a five-match unbeaten streak. On Sep 29, they beat Huesca Women 1-0 away in the Cup. They then defeated Barcelona B Women 1-0 at home in the league on Sep 26. A 2-2 draw at CF Extremadura Women on Sep 20 and a 3-3 home draw against Real Madrid B Women on Sep 13 showed their attacking threat. They also won 4-2 at CDE Racing Santander Women in the Cup on Sep 8. Osasuna have netted 11 goals in these five outings, conceding 7.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five H2H encounters clearly favor Osasuna Women, who have two wins and three draws:

• Jan 28, 2024: Osasuna Women 2-2 Athletic Bilbao B Women (Primera Federacion Women)
• Sep 9, 2023: Athletic Bilbao B Women 2-2 Osasuna Women (Primera Division Women)
• Jan 21, 2023: Athletic Bilbao B Women 3-3 Osasuna Women (Primera Division Women)
• Oct 2, 2022: Osasuna Women 1-0 Athletic Bilbao B Women (Primera Division Women)
• Oct 17, 2021: Osasuna Women 1-0 Athletic Bilbao B Women (Primera Division Women)

Athletic Bilbao B Women have yet to record a victory in this fixture, with Osasuna keeping two clean sheets in their wins.

Win Probability: Athletic Bilbao B Women or Osasuna Women?

We analyzed the odds from four bookmakers. The average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) were 21.5% for a home win, 38.8% for a draw, and 39.7% for an away win. After factoring in the teams' recent form and the head-to-head record, we adjust these to a clean 22%, 38%, and 40%. Athletic Bilbao B Women have a 22% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Osasuna Women have a 40% chance. The odds imply a tight match, but Osasuna's superior H2H record and slightly more prolific attack tilt the balance in their favor. Home advantage for Athletic Bilbao B Women is not enough to overcome their historical struggles against this opponent.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from bookmakers are 4.60 for an Athletic Bilbao B Women win, 3.30 for a draw, and 2.55 for an Osasuna Women victory. These odds reflect the market's view that Osasuna are the favorites. Our prediction: based on the stats, Osasuna Women are the more likely winners, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given the teams' recent form and the high number of stalemates in past meetings.