Mszczonowianka Mszczonow - Oskar Przysucha prediction 5 September 2026

Mszczonowianka Mszczonow vs Oskar Przysucha prediction for Sep 05, 2026, in the Polish IV Liga. The home side Mszczonowianka Mszczonow is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Oskar Przysucha has a 30% chance and the draw is at 25%. Both teams are in poor form, but head-to-head history heavily favors the hosts.

Team Form

Mszczonowianka Mszczonow go into this match in poor form, having lost four of their last five matches (L, L, L, D, L). Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat to Hutnik Warszawa on Aug 26. The only point came from a 3-3 draw against Wilga Garwolin. Oskar Przysucha are also struggling, with three defeats and two draws in their last five (L, L, L, D, D). They lost 0-4 to Blonianka Blonie and 3-4 to MKS Piaseczno, but held Victoria Sulejowek to a 3-3 draw. Both sides have defensive issues, conceding multiple goals in most matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Mszczonowianka Mszczonow have dominated this fixture, winning both previous meetings. In the most recent clash on Nov 21, 2025, Mszczonowianka defeated Oskar Przysucha 6-2 away. The earlier encounter on Jun 17, 2023 also ended in a 3-2 away victory. So Mszczonowianka has a 100% win record in the H2H, with a total goal difference of 9-4.

Win Probability: Mszczonowianka Mszczonow or Oskar Przysucha?

Based on the available odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:

• Mszczonowianka Mszczonow win: 45%
• Draw: 25%
• Oskar Przysucha win: 30%

The initial odds implied probabilities (after removing the bookmaker margin) were roughly 36% for a home win, 35% for a draw, and 29% for an away win. However, Mszczonowianka’s perfect H2H record (2 wins from 2 games) and home advantage significantly boost their chances. Oskar Przysucha’s slightly better recent form (two draws compared to Mszczonowianka’s one) keeps the away win probability at 30%. Overall, the home side is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have Mszczonowianka Mszczonow as the favorite with average odds of 2.50 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.55, and an Oskar Przysucha away win is at 3.07. These odds reflect the expectation that the hosts should win, but the close draw odds indicate the match could be tight. Our prediction: Mszczonowianka Mszczonow to win, based on their head-to-head dominance and home advantage, despite both teams’ poor recent form.