Victoria Sulejowek - Oskar Przysucha prediction 18 September 2026

The Victoria Sulejowek vs Oskar Przysucha prediction for this IV Liga match on Sep 18, 2026, points firmly towards a home win. Based on pre‑match odds, recent form and the head‑to‑head record, Victoria Sulejowek have a 45% chance of winning, the draw probability is 28%, and Oskar Przysucha hold a 27% chance of an away victory.

Team Form

Victoria Sulejowek’s last five matches show inconsistency: a 2‑3 home loss to Hutnik Warszawa (Sep 5), a 1‑0 home win over Polonia II Warszawa (Aug 26), a 1‑5 home defeat against Hutnik Warszawa (Jun 12), a 0‑3 loss away at Mazur Karczew (Jun 3) and a high‑scoring 7‑3 home victory over Wilga Garwolin (May 30). That gives them two wins and three defeats, with the attack only firing in the last home win.

Oskar Przysucha arrive with even poorer form – only one win in five. They suffered a 2‑5 home loss to MKS Piaseczno (Sep 12), beat Mszczonowianka Mszczonow 1‑0 away (Sep 5), lost 0‑4 at home to Blonianka Blonie (Aug 22), went down 3‑4 at home to MKS Piaseczno (Jun 5) and lost 1‑2 away at Legionovia Legionowo (May 9). One win, four defeats underlines their struggle.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The two sides have met twice in recent IV Liga history. The most recent clash on Apr 29, 2026 ended in a 3‑3 draw at Oskar Przysucha. Before that, on Aug 9, 2025, Victoria Sulejowek secured a comfortable 3‑1 home victory. Overall, Victoria lead the H2H with one win and one draw, no defeats.

Win Probability: Victoria Sulejowek or Oskar Przysucha?

The probability calculation starts from the bookmaker odds, which imply a home‑win likelihood around 40% (after removing the margin). However, Victoria’s H2H advantage (W1 D1 L0) and the fact they are playing at home strengthens their case. Oskar’s poor recent record – just one win in five – further tilts the equation. Therefore, we adjust the probabilities to Victoria Sulejowek 45%, draw 28% and Oskar Przysucha 27%. In short, Victoria are the clear value pick.

Odds & Match Prediction

Two bookmakers’ 1X2 odds are supplied: 2.50, 2.50, 3.10 and 2.05, 3.60, 2.80. Both sets make Victoria Sulejowek the favourite, though the margin varies (as low as 2.05 to back a home win). Considering the form and H2H data, a Victoria Sulejowek win is the most probable outcome. A 2‑1 correct score line looks a realistic prediction based on the stats.