Norrby IF - Osters IF prediction 10 October 2026

Norrby IF vs Osters IF prediction for the Superettan match on October 10, 2026 at 16:00 at Borås Arena. Based on head-to-head dominance, league position, and recent form, Osters IF are the more likely winners with a 40% win probability, while Norrby IF have a 32% chance and the draw sits at 28%.

Team Form

Norrby IF are in terrible shape. In their last five Superettan matches they have earned only one point with results: 0-0 draw against Helsingborg (Sep 20), 1-2 loss at home to Varbergs BoIS (Sep 14), 1-2 away loss to Ljungskile (Sep 9), 1-3 home loss to Landskrona BoIS (Sep 5), and 0-1 away loss to GIF Sundsvall (Aug 31). That is four defeats in five games and no wins.

Osters IF have not been much better, but they have picked up four points from their last five. Their results: 1-3 home loss to IFK Norrkoping (Sep 19), 3-1 away win at Varnamo (Sep 15), 1-2 away loss to Falkenbergs FF (Sep 10), 1-2 home loss to United IK Nordic (Sep 4), and a 1-1 away draw at Sandvikens IF (Aug 30). The away win and the away draw indicate Osters can compete on the road, which is crucial here.

Head-to-Head Record

Osters IF have dominated this fixture historically. Across all meetings, Osters IF have won 15 times, Norrby IF have won only 5 times, and 3 matches ended in draws. Recent head-to-head results underline that trend:

• May 30, 2026: Osters IF 2-1 Norrby IF
• Oct 29, 2022: Norrby IF 2-0 Osters IF
• May 7, 2022: Osters IF 2-0 Norrby IF
• Oct 23, 2021: Norrby IF 0-0 Osters IF

Osters IF have won three of the last four competitive meetings, with the only exception being a home win for Norrby in 2022.

League Table Positions

Osters IF sit 7th in the Superettan table with 36 points from 25 matches (11 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses, 38 goals scored, 38 conceded). Norrby IF are not present in the top 12 of the league table, which indicates they are significantly lower in the standings and likely fighting in the relegation zone. The gap in league position strongly favours Osters IF.

Win Probability: Norrby IF or Osters IF?

Using the average pre-match odds from the listed bookmakers, the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin were: Norrby IF win 39.2%, draw 34.1%, Osters IF win 26.7%. However, the head-to-head record (Osters 15 wins vs Norrby 5), the current league positions, and Norrby IF's terrible recent form (zero wins in five) force a significant adjustment.

Therefore, the final win probabilities are: Norrby IF 32%, draw 28%, Osters IF 40%. Osters IF are the more likely winners despite being the away team, mainly because of their historical dominance and Norrby IF's ongoing poor run.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this Superettan match vary across the listed markets. The ranges are:

• Norrby IF win: 1.85 – 2.32
• Draw: 2.45 – 2.64
• Osters IF win: 2.90 – 3.40

The odds suggest bookmakers see Norrby IF as slight favourites at home. Yet based on the stats, especially the head-to-head record and the league table gap, Osters IF offer strong value. Our final prediction is an Osters IF win, but the double chance X2 (draw or Osters IF) is a safer betting tip given Norrby IF's home advantage.